Match Info

Liga de Primera - Round 8

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Gustavo Ocaranza (Limache)


	Deportes Limache		Unión La Calera

	1	X	2
	1.86	3.4	3.6	Watch
	1.92	3.35	3.95	Watch
	1.87	3.65	4.37
	1.89	3.56	3.95	Watch
	1.91	3.2	3.6
	1.93	3.36	3.89	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (1.94)	3.42 ↓ (3.54)	3.89 ↑ (3.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportes Limache
49%

Draw
27.2%

Unión La Calera
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.4%

26.5%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

26.2%

24.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Limache has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Unión La Calera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

The ML Model estimate for Deportes Limache aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión La Calera than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	14.3%	0%

Deportes Limache - Unión La Calera Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Limache (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Deportes Limache will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
17. Gonzalez C. (G) 23. Gonzalez Y. 5. Alfonzo A. 2. Aguirre A. 4. Flores M. 10. Pinares C. (C) 27. Ramon Martinez 16. Jean David 8. Montecinos J. 9. Sosa G. 19. Castro D.	1. Avellaneda N. (G) 25. Diaz C. 6. Caseres R. 3. Palma N. 13. Pastene A. 5. Moya C. 29. Soto J. 10. Mendez K. 24. Requena J. 7. Oyarzo Munoz B. 11. Saez S. (C)
Substitutes
15. Alvarez V. 26. Arturia M. 6. Fuentes C. 25. Llanten M. 11. Marin F. 3. Molina B. 7. Morales C. 21. Moya F. 12. Smith M. (G)	21. Argandona B. 19. Campos M. 20. Cruz J. 18. Encinas A. 12. Espinoza N. (G) 4. Gutierrez C. 27. Gutierrez D. 17. Hiriart M. 26. Maturana M.
Coaches
Rivero V.	Cicotello M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Castro D. ⚽,
36', Caseres R. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Moya C. ↓, Cruz J. ↑,
50', Jean David 🟨,
54', 2 - 0, Montecinos J. ⚽, Jean David (A),
65', Soto J. ↓, Gutierrez C. ↑,
65', Mendez K. ↓, Campos M. ↑,
69', Pinares C. ↓, Arturia M. ↑,
69', Sosa G. ↓, Llanten M. ↑,
78', 3 - 0, Arturia M. ⚽, Jean David (A),
81', Montecinos J. ↓, Alvarez V. ↑,
81', Jean David ↓, Moya F. ↑,
81', Castro D. ↓, Morales C. ↑,
87', 4 - 0, Moya F. ⚽,
89', Saez S. ↓, Argandona B. ↑,
89', Oyarzo Munoz B. ↓, Hiriart M. ↑,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: ) and 8).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Limache may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Limache has had a series of away games.

In this match, Limache is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Limache won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Limache won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Limache	23	10	3	10	43:35	8	33
16	Union La Calera	23	4	5	14	19:40	-21	17

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes Limache
Chilean Copa de la Liga
31.03.26	Everton de Viña - Deportes Limache	1:2 ✺
26.03.26	Deportes Limache - Palestino	1:1 ✺
22.03.26	OHiggins - Deportes Limache	1:1 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
15.03.26	Cobresal - Deportes Limache	2:5 ✺
07.03.26	Everton de Viña - Deportes Limache	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WTTWL
- Unión La Calera
Chilean Copa de la Liga
28.03.26	Unión La Calera - Deportes La Serena	2:1 ✺
24.03.26	Universidad de Chile - Unión La Calera	0:1 ✺
20.03.26	Unión La Calera - Audax Italiano	0:1 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
16.03.26	Unión La Calera - OHiggins	3:3 ✺
06.03.26	Deportes La Serena - Unión La Calera	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Primera Division
30.11.25	Unión La Calera - Deportes Limache	0:1
13.06.25	Deportes Limache - Unión La Calera	0:1

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