The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportes La Serena 30.1%
Draw 29.7%
Unión La Calera 40.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
25.8%
28.2%
46%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26.9%
27%
44.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportes La Serena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
Unión La Calera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Unión La Calera might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes La Serena than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión La Calera than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
75%
25%
Deportes La Serena - Unión La Calera Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Unión La Calera will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Lanzillotta F. (G) 14. Chamorro F. 33. Delgado R. 24. Diaz F. 26. Dinamarca F. 8. Escalante G. 21. Gutierrez B. 4. Mac Allister F. 23. Marin M. 29. Pinto M. 20. Velasquez M.
1. Avellaneda N. (G) 2. Andia Leon Y. W. 19. Campos M. 25. Diaz C. 4. Gutierrez C. 27. Gutierrez D. 10. Mendez K. 5. Moya C. 3. Palma N. 11. Saez S. (C) 14. Villanueva C.
Substitutes
15. Contreras B. 6. Diaz S. 16. Gutierrez J. 28. Orellana J. 17. Salazar Y. 19. Sandoval B. 31. Tapia J. (G) 10. Vargas J. 35. Zepeda M.
21. Argandona B. 20. Cruz J. 18. Encinas A. 12. Espinoza N. (G) 17. Hiriart M. 8. Leiva Y. 26. Maturana M. 7. Oyarzo Munoz B. 9. Pozzo F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
7', Chamorro F. 🟨,
31', 0 - 1, Villanueva C. ⚽,
41', Palma N. 🟨,
44', 0 - 2, Villanueva C. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Delgado R. ↓, Salazar Y. ↑,
46', Escalante G. ↓, Gutierrez J. ↑,
48', Dinamarca F. 🟨,
55', Dinamarca F. ↓, Contreras B. ↑,
60', Gutierrez C. 🟨,
60', Gutierrez C. 🟨,
64', Villanueva C. ↓, Leiva Y. ↑,
64', Campos M. ↓, Oyarzo Munoz B. ↑,
68', Pinto M. ↓, Vargas J. ↑,
76', Moya C. ↓, Argandona B. ↑,
79', Andia Leon Y. W. 🟨,
81', Diaz F. ↓, Sandoval B. ↑,
85', Salazar Y. 🟨,
87', Marin M. 🟨,
89', Andia Leon Y. W. ↓, Pozzo F. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportes La Serena won 3.
Deportes La Serena has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, Unión La Calera has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Deportes La Serena may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Deportes La Serena has had a series of home games.
Unión La Calera could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Deportes La Serena won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 14:19. (average 0.9:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Deportes La Serena won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 0.9:1.1).
Chile
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Lanzillotta F. (G) 
Chamorro F. 
Gutierrez C. 
Mendez K. 
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