The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportes Puerto Montt 42.3%
Draw 29.2%
Deportes Magallanes 28.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38%
32%
29.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.1%
31.9%
29.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportes Puerto Montt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
Deportes Magallanes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Puerto Montt than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Magallanes than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
33.3%
0%
Deportes Puerto Montt - Deportes Magallanes Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Puerto Montt will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
29. Collao G. (G) 17. Nieto B. 2. Morales A. 4. Riveros M. 5. Calisto F. 23. Castillo G. 14. Cardenas J. 18. Sabella A. 34. Gonzalez K. 9. Vazquez L. 11. Castro R.
1. Munoz J. (G) 3. Walters A. 4. Vasquez M. 6. James J. 30. Salinas Flores H. 21. Quiroz J. 28. Guzman G. 10. Jorquera C. (C) 19. Farfan R. 9. Peraza F. 11. Fredes M.
Substitutes
7. Clerveaux M. 16. Flores J. 8. Paredes R. 28. Perez S. 3. Pino Villalon J. 13. Ureta L. (G) 10. Vargas C.
23. Alegre M. 32. Coronel S. 5. Liuzzi B. 20. Neira E. 17. Olguin M. (G) 7. Toledo A. 24. Yanez F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Vazquez L. ⚽,
34', 2 - 0, Nieto B. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Guzman G. ↓, Coronel S. ↑,
46', Farfan R. ↓, Toledo A. ↑,
59', Sabella A. ↓, Flores J. ↑,
61', Walters A. 🟨,
62', Jorquera C. ↓, Alegre M. ↑,
64', Gonzalez K. 🟨,
64', Riveros M. 🟥,
66', Salinas Flores H. ↓, Yanez F. ↑,
67', Vasquez M. 🟨,
67', Castro R. 🟨,
68', Quiroz J. 🟥,
68', Flores J. 🟥,
70', 🟨,
71', Castro R. ↓, Pino Villalon J. ↑,
75', Vazquez L. ↓, Paredes R. ↑,
83', Fredes M. ↓, Neira E. ↑,
90+5', Neira E. 🟨,
90+7', Munoz J. 🟥,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Puerto Montt won 2.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Puerto Montt might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Puerto Montt won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 0.8:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Puerto Montt won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 1:0.4).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
Magallanes
26
12
7
7
42:38
4
43
10
D. Puerto Montt
26
10
4
12
26:34
-8
34
Last Results with these Odds
Deportes Magallanes - the odds 3.1 are the expected chance of winning is 29.94%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
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Collao G. (G) 
Morales A. 
Castro R. 
Peraza F. 
Clerveaux M. 
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