Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: COPA LIBERTADORES - QUALIFICATION - FINAL

Date: 8 March 2023, Wednesday

Location: Estadio El Teniente (Rancagua)

Referee: Ortega K. (Per)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Portugal	Sport TV


	Deportes Magallanes		Independiente Medellín

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.2	3	Watch
	2.4	3.1	2.9
	2.43	3.2	3.05
	2.34	3.1	2.85
	2.48	3.25	3
	2.4	3	2.88
	2.4	3.3	2.97	Watch
	2.42	2.95	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↑ (2.36)	3.14 ↑ (3.1)	2.95 ↑ (2.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportes Magallanes
38.7%

Draw
29.7%

Independiente Medellín
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.8%

29.5%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9%

28.7%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Magallanes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Independiente Medellín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Magallanes than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Medellín than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	71.4%	0%

Deportes Magallanes - Independiente Medellín Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Magallanes will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

Magallanes could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes Magallanes
Chilean Primera Division
05.03.23	Colo-Colo - Deportes Magallanes	2:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
02.03.23	Always Ready - Deportes Magallanes	1:3 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
26.02.23	Deportes Magallanes - Cobresal	2:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
23.02.23	Deportes Magallanes - Always Ready	3:0 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
17.02.23	Unión Española - Deportes Magallanes	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.8 LWWWW
- Independiente Medellín
Colombian Primera A
04.03.23	Independiente Medellín - Rionegro Águilas	3:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
01.03.23	Independiente Medellín - El Nacional	2:1 ✺
Colombian Primera A
26.02.23	Alianza Valledupar - Independiente Medellín	0:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
22.02.23	El Nacional - Independiente Medellín	2:2 ✺
Colombian Primera A
18.02.23	Independiente Medellín - América de Cali	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WWWTL

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