Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: COPA LIBERTADORES - QUALIFICATION - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 22 February 2023, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa (Quito)

Referee: Tejera G. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Portugal	Sport TV


	El Nacional		Independiente Medellín

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.2	3.4	Watch
	2.15	3.2	3.4
	2.23	3.1	3.55
	2.14	3.2	3.77
	2.1	3	3.5
	2.14	3.08	3.76	Watch
	2.2	3	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.16)	3.11 ↑ (3.07)	3.53 ↑ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

El Nacional
43.5%

Draw
30%

Independiente Medellín
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

30%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

El Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Independiente Medellín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	19%	23.8%

El Nacional - Independiente Medellín Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. El Nacional will win (votes: 12 - 57.1%). Ind Medellín will win (votes: 5 - 23.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 19%).
Confidence interval (95%) for El Nacional: 35.9% – 78.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Independiente Medellín is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Independiente Medellín could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

El Nacional will have a poor advantage in this game.

Our prediction for today's El Nacional to win the game is with odds 2.22.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD El Nacional
Copa Libertadores
15.02.23	El Nacional - Nacional Potosí	3:1 ✺
08.02.23	Nacional Potosí - El Nacional	1:6 ✺
Club Friendly
29.01.23	LDU Quito - El Nacional	1:2 ✺
21.01.23	El Nacional - Deportivo Cali	3:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Copa
02.11.22	9 de Octubre - El Nacional	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.5 WWWWT
- Independiente Medellín
Colombian Primera A
18.02.23	Independiente Medellín - América de Cali	0:1 ✺
15.02.23	Deportivo La Equidad - Independiente Medellín	2:1 ✺
11.02.23	Envigado - Independiente Medellín	2:1 ✺
04.02.23	Independiente Medellín - Independiente Santa Fe	1:1 ✺
29.01.23	Junior Barranquilla - Independiente Medellín	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LLLTT

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