Match Info

Date: 12 May 2022, Thursday

Location: Estadio Municipal Roberto Bravo Santibáñez (Melipilla)


	Deportes Melipilla		Deportes Magallanes

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.1	2.1
	3.35	2.7	2.12
	3.25	3.05	2.11
	3.96	2.95	2.11
	3.5	3	2.05
	3.46	3.35	2.07	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.44 ↓ (3.56)	3.03 ↓ (3.1)	2.09 ↑ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportes Melipilla
26.5%

Draw
30.1%

Deportes Magallanes
43.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.6%

29.4%

45.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.7%

30.7%

43.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Melipilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Deportes Magallanes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Melipilla than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Magallanes than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.5%	35.3%	41.2%

Deportes Melipilla - Deportes Magallanes Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Melipilla will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). Magallanes will win (votes: 7 - 41.2%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 35.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Magallanes: 17.8% – 64.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Melipilla won 2.

Recent matches Melipilla is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Magallanes in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Melipilla could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Magallanes will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Melipilla won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Melipilla won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes Melipilla
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
08.05.22	Arturo Fernández Vial - Deportes Melipilla	1:1 ✺
29.04.22	Deportes Melipilla - Barnechea	2:1 ✺
25.04.22	Deportes Temuco - Deportes Melipilla	1:1 ✺
20.04.22	Deportes Melipilla - Santiago Wanderers	2:0 ✺
17.04.22	San Luis de Quillota - Deportes Melipilla	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 TWTWL
- Deportes Magallanes
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
08.05.22	Deportes Magallanes - Unión San Felipe	1:0 ✺
25.04.22	Santiago Morning - Deportes Magallanes	2:3 ✺
21.04.22	Deportes Magallanes - Arturo Fernández Vial	2:1 ✺
16.04.22	Deportes Temuco - Deportes Magallanes	2:4 ✺
09.04.22	Deportes Magallanes - Barnechea	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Liga de Ascenso
16.11.20	Deportes Melipilla - Deportes Magallanes	0:0
01.10.20	Deportes Magallanes - Deportes Melipilla	0:0
14.09.19	Deportes Magallanes - Deportes Melipilla	1:2
07.04.19	Deportes Melipilla - Deportes Magallanes	0:0
20.10.18	Deportes Magallanes - Deportes Melipilla	0:2
03.03.18	Deportes Melipilla - Deportes Magallanes	2:2

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