Match Info

Liga de Ascenso - Round 10

Date: 18 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal Germán Becker (Temuco)


	Deportes Temuco		Deportes Magallanes

	1	X	2
	2.4	2.85	2.8
	2.55	3.05	2.8
	2.61	3.14	2.71
	2.61	3.13	2.76	Watch
	2.45	2.8	2.9
	2.77	3.17	2.55	Watch
	2.55	3.05	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↓ (2.58)	3.03 ↓ (3.23)	2.76 ↑ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportes Temuco
36%

Draw
30.5%

Deportes Magallanes
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.7%

28.5%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2%

28.1%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Temuco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Deportes Magallanes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Temuco than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Magallanes than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Deportes Temuco - Deportes Magallanes Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Deportes Temuco will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Deportes Temuco (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Garrido J. (G) 4. Pereyra F. 31. Magnasco S. 17. Villegas Jara G. 20. Lavin V. (C) 27. Nunez C. 10. Espinoza F. 29. Velasquez J. 30. Buonanotte D. 19. Gonzalez D. 9. Acevedo L.	12. Bernatene M. (G) 4. Vasquez M. 6. Alucema G. 14. Valdez B. 16. Osorio M. 10. Aranguiz T. (C) 18. Toledo A. 22. Morales Olivares M. G. 17. Ortega F. 9. Cezar F. 26. Munoz C.
Substitutes
7. Castro Gutierrez J. 6. Contreras P. 24. Degenhardt G. (G) 14. Orrego N. 2. Penailillo A. 16. Riveros R. 8. Troncoso B.	30. Abarca Antil F. A. 32. Espinola M. 2. Figueroa D. 31. Gonzalez M. 1. Martinic A. (G) 8. Vicuna M. 3. Walters A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Buonanotte D. ⚽,
41', Toledo A. ↓, Vicuna M. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Cezar F. ↓, Abarca Antil F. A. ↑,
46', Osorio M. ↓, Gonzalez M. ↑,
46', 2 - 0, Acevedo L. ⚽,
49', Abarca Antil F. A. 🟨,
56', 3 - 0, Acevedo L. ⚽,
63', Munoz C. 🟨,
70', Velasquez J. 🟨,
70', Velasquez J. ↓, Troncoso B. ↑,
75', Gonzalez D. 🟨,
75', Gonzalez D. ↓, Riveros R. ↑,
75', Acevedo L. ↓, Castro Gutierrez J. ↑,
76', Aranguiz T. ↓, Espinola M. ↑,
76', Alucema G. ↓, Figueroa D. ↑,
85', Buonanotte D. ↓, Contreras P. ↑,
85', Espinoza F. ↓, Orrego N. ↑,
87', Ortega F. 🟨,
88', Abarca Antil F. A. 🟨,
88', 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportes Temuco won 2.

Recent form of Deportes Temuco has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Magallanes has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Deportes Temuco won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 23:22. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Deportes Temuco won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 15:5. (average 2.1:0.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Deportes Magallanes - the odds 2.58 are the expected chance of winning is 35.73%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes Temuco
Chilean Cup
10.05.25	Deportes Temuco - Huachipato	4:2 ✺
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
04.05.25	Deportes Copiapó - Deportes Temuco	3:0 ✺
26.04.25	Deportes Temuco - Curicó Unido	0:0 ✺
18.04.25	Deportes Temuco - San Luis de Quillota	0:1 ✺
13.04.25	Santiago Wanderers - Deportes Temuco	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLTLL
- Deportes Magallanes
Chilean Cup
09.05.25	Santiago Morning - Deportes Magallanes	1:2 ✺
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
05.05.25	Deportes Magallanes - Deportes Santa Cruz	3:0 ✺
27.04.25	Unión San Felipe - Deportes Magallanes	1:0 ✺
20.04.25	Deportes Magallanes - Rangers de Talca	1:1 ✺
12.04.25	Cobreloa - Deportes Magallanes	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Liga de Ascenso
27.07.24	Deportes Temuco - Deportes Magallanes	1:0
09.03.24	Deportes Magallanes - Deportes Temuco	3:1
30.08.22	Deportes Magallanes - Deportes Temuco	1:0
16.04.22	Deportes Temuco - Deportes Magallanes	2:4
06.09.21	Deportes Temuco - Deportes Magallanes	3:0
03.05.21	Deportes Magallanes - Deportes Temuco	0:3
29.12.20	Deportes Temuco - Deportes Magallanes	1:1

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