Match Info

Date: 4 July 2022, Monday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Concepción (Concepción)


	Universidad de Concepción		Deportes Melipilla

	1	X	2
	2	2.95	3.6
	1.98	3	3.35
	1.99	2.95	3.7
	2.02	3.08	4.21
	2	3	3.6
	2.04	3.3	3.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.22)	3.05 ↑ (3.03)	3.68 ↑ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Universidad de Concepción
45.4%

Draw
29.9%

Deportes Melipilla
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

29.9%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

30%

29.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universidad de Concepción has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Deportes Melipilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad de Concepción than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Melipilla than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	46.7%	13.3%

Universidad de Concepción - Deportes Melipilla Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Uni de Concepción will win (votes: 12 - 40%). Melipilla will win (votes: 4 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 46.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 28.8% – 64.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 12 and 9).

Universidad de Concepción in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Melipilla is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Universidad de Concepción will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Universidad de Concepción won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Universidad de Concepción
Chilean Cup
25.06.22	Deportes La Serena - Universidad de Concepción	1:2 ✺
18.06.22	Universidad de Concepción - Deportes La Serena	4:3 ✺
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
31.05.22	San Luis de Quillota - Universidad de Concepción	0:2 ✺
23.05.22	Universidad de Concepción - Santiago Morning	5:1 ✺
16.05.22	Santiago Wanderers - Universidad de Concepción	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 WWWWT
- Deportes Melipilla
Chilean Cup
26.06.22	Coquimbo Unido - Deportes Melipilla	2:1 ✺
19.06.22	Deportes Melipilla - Coquimbo Unido	0:0 ✺
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
29.05.22	Deportes Iquique - Deportes Melipilla	3:0 ✺
22.05.22	Deportes Melipilla - Deportes Santa Cruz	1:0 ✺
16.05.22	Santiago Morning - Deportes Melipilla	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Liga de Ascenso
17.02.22	Deportes Melipilla - Universidad de Concepción	0:2

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