Match Info

CHILE: CHILEAN CUP - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 8 April 2023, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal Roberto Bravo Santibáñez (Melipilla)


	Deportes Melipilla		Deportes Santa Cruz

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.4	1.7
	4.5	3.3	1.66
	4	3.6	1.7
	3.84	3.51	1.81
	5	3.2	1.7
	4.9	3.45	1.69
	4.7	3.4	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.49 ↑ (3.65)	3.41 ↑ (3.05)	1.71 ↓ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportes Melipilla
20.2%

Draw
26.6%

Deportes Santa Cruz
53.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.1%

30%

44.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.4%

29.2%

46.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Melipilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Deportes Santa Cruz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportes Santa Cruz's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Melipilla than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Santa Cruz than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportes Santa Cruz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Deportes Melipilla - Deportes Santa Cruz Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Melipilla will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Deportes Santa Cruz will win (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Melipilla won 2.

Recent matches Melipilla is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Deportes Santa Cruz is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Deportes Santa Cruz is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Melipilla won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Melipilla won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes Melipilla
Chilean Segunda Division
25.03.23	San Antonio Unido - Deportes Melipilla	1:0 ✺
19.03.23	Deportes Melipilla - Deportes Limache	1:1 ✺
11.03.23	Deportes Valdivia - Deportes Melipilla	0:0 ✺
05.03.23	Deportes Melipilla - Arturo Fernández Vial	2:1 ✺
26.02.23	Trasandino de Los Andes - Deportes Melipilla	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LTTWL
- Deportes Santa Cruz
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
26.03.23	Deportes Santa Cruz - Santiago Morning	1:1 ✺
20.03.23	Deportes Puerto Montt - Deportes Santa Cruz	1:2 ✺
14.03.23	Deportes Santa Cruz - Barnechea	1:0 ✺
05.03.23	Universidad de Concepción - Deportes Santa Cruz	0:1 ✺
27.02.23	Deportes Santa Cruz - Deportes La Serena	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.9 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Liga de Ascenso
24.10.22	Deportes Santa Cruz - Deportes Melipilla	2:1
22.05.22	Deportes Melipilla - Deportes Santa Cruz	1:0
23.12.20	Deportes Melipilla - Deportes Santa Cruz	0:0
31.08.20	Deportes Santa Cruz - Deportes Melipilla	2:4
29.09.19	Deportes Melipilla - Deportes Santa Cruz	2:2
18.05.19	Deportes Santa Cruz - Deportes Melipilla	1:0

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