The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportes Santa Cruz 34.1%
Draw 29.1%
Deportes La Serena 36.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
24.5%
26.6%
48.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
23.5%
25.6%
50.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportes Santa Cruz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportes Santa Cruz's performance.
Deportes La Serena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportes La Serena might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Santa Cruz than the current prediction. (-10.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportes Santa Cruz that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes La Serena than the current prediction. (+14.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportes La Serena could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Deportes Santa Cruz - Deportes La Serena Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Flores G. (G) 4. Navarrete J. 20. Guzman R. 23. Lauler G. (C) 33. Gonzalez D. 7. Ledezma I. 8. Cisterna R. 30. Rencoret C. 10. Barrera L. 13. Pinto M. 19. Gonzalez D.
1. Sanhueza Mora E. A. (G) 3. Osorio R. 5. Alarcon L. 17. Guerrero E. (C) 20. Sanhueza D. 6. Diaz S. 10. Gallegos S. 21. Espinoza E. 8. Molina S. 9. Altamirano L. 16. Figueroa J.
Substitutes
18. Ayala F. 25. Faundez H. (G) 6. Medel K. 11. Munoz P. 14. Ojeda Leal C. A. 3. Pino Villalon J. 24. Salgado D.
24. Carreno L. 28. Delgado A. 4. Duran V. 36. Guajardo Barrera B. 12. Hartard E. (G) 7. Lobos C. 29. Torres Gaete C. G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
30', 0 - 1, Espinoza E. ⚽,
38', Rencoret C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Figueroa J. ↓, Torres Gaete C. G. ↑,
46', Flores G. ↓, Faundez H. ↑,
49', 1 - 1, Ledezma I. ⚽,
50', Sanhueza D. 🟨,
61', Guerrero E. ↓, Guajardo Barrera B. ↑,
68', Molina S. ↓, Delgado A. ↑,
68', Espinoza E. ↓, Lobos C. ↑,
75', Alarcon L. 🟨,
78', Diaz S. ↓, Carreno L. ↑,
80', Navarrete J. ↓, Ayala F. ↑,
80', Barrera L. ↓, Ojeda Leal C. A. ↑,
85', Ledezma I. ↓, Medel K. ↑,
Preview
During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Relegation ~ Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division).
Recent matches Deportes Santa Cruz is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Deportes La Serena is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Deportes Santa Cruz won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-9.
Including matches at home between the teams Deportes Santa Cruz won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-6.
Chile
Watch
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Flores G. (G) 
Barrera L. 
Gonzalez D. 
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