Match Info

Date: 30 August 2022, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Municipal Roberto Bravo Santibáñez (Melipilla)


	Deportes Melipilla		San Luis de Quillota

	1	X	2
	2.4	2.85	2.87
	2.3	2.7	3
	2.41	2.85	2.9
	2.56	2.86	2.96
	2.5	2.75	2.88
	2.48	2.99	2.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↑ (2)	2.83 ↓ (3.1)	2.92 ↓ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportes Melipilla
37.1%

Draw
31.9%

San Luis de Quillota
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

29.1%

25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.8%

28%

24.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Melipilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportes Melipilla's form might have worsened.

San Luis de Quillota has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting San Luis de Quillota's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Melipilla than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportes Melipilla, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Luis de Quillota than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for San Luis de Quillota, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

Deportes Melipilla - San Luis de Quillota Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Melipilla will win (votes: 2 - 25%). San Luis will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 and 13).

Melipilla is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches San Luis is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Melipilla will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Melipilla won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes Melipilla
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
24.08.22	Cobreloa - Deportes Melipilla	1:0 ✺
09.08.22	Deportes Melipilla - Unión San Felipe	1:0 ✺
01.08.22	Deportes Copiapó - Deportes Melipilla	2:1 ✺
26.07.22	Deportes Melipilla - Deportes Recoleta	1:2 ✺
18.07.22	Deportes Puerto Montt - Deportes Melipilla	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWLLL
- San Luis de Quillota
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
23.08.22	San Luis de Quillota - Unión San Felipe	2:2 ✺
15.08.22	Deportes Copiapó - San Luis de Quillota	1:1 ✺
08.08.22	San Luis de Quillota - Rangers de Talca	0:0 ✺
01.08.22	Santiago Morning - San Luis de Quillota	1:0 ✺
25.07.22	Santiago Wanderers - San Luis de Quillota	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 TTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Liga de Ascenso
17.04.22	San Luis de Quillota - Deportes Melipilla	2:1

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