Match Info

Date: 2 May 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Deportes Melipilla		Universidad Católica

	1	X	2
	4	3.4	1.8	Watch
	4.1	3.2	1.8
	4.5	3.2	1.73	Watch
	4.6	3.2	1.81
	5.07	3.42	1.83
	5.5	3.5	1.6	Watch
	4.75	3.52	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.65 ↓ (5.3)	3.35 ↓ (3.63)	1.77 ↑ (1.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportes Melipilla
19.9%

Draw
27.7%

Universidad Católica
52.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

17.4%

25.4%

57.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.8%

21.6%

48.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Melipilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Universidad Católica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Melipilla than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportes Melipilla, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad Católica than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Deportes Melipilla - Universidad Católica Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

No spectators.

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation to Primera B and 6 in the zone Promotion to Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)).

Melipilla is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Universidad Católica is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Universidad Católica could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Universidad Católica is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes Melipilla
Chilean Primera Division
26.04.21	Audax Italiano - Deportes Melipilla	1:0 ✺
16.04.21	Deportes Melipilla - Palestino	0:1 ✺
10.04.21	Unión Española - Deportes Melipilla	0:2 ✺
03.04.21	Deportes Melipilla - Ñublense	1:1 ✺
27.03.21	Curicó Unido - Deportes Melipilla	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 LLWTL
- Universidad Católica
Copa Libertadores
29.04.21	Universidad Católica - Argentinos Juniors	0:2 ✺
22.04.21	Atlético Nacional - Universidad Católica	2:0 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
16.04.21	Universidad Católica - Curicó Unido	2:1 ✺
10.04.21	Audax Italiano - Universidad Católica	1:0 ✺
04.04.21	Universidad Católica - Palestino	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLWLW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Universidad Católica
Chilean Primera Division
01.11.26	Universidad Católica - Universidad de Chile	✺

Deportes Melipilla - Universidad Católica

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Deportes Melipilla - Universidad Católica Predictions

Preview

Form

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