Match Info

Liga de Ascenso - Round 29

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Regional de Chinquihue (Puerto Montt) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Chile	17:30	TNT Sports


	Deportes Puerto Montt		Unión San Felipe

	1	X	2
	1.87	3.20	3.60
	1.98	3.10	3.40
	1.87	3.40	4.12
	1.92	3.46	3.86	Watch
	1.83	3.30	4.05
	1.86	3.24	3.85
	1.96	3.30	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (1.98)	3.29 ↑ (3.1)	3.79 ↑ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportes Puerto Montt
48.1%

Draw
27.8%

Unión San Felipe
24.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45%

28.8%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1%

27.7%

25.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Puerto Montt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Unión San Felipe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Puerto Montt than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión San Felipe than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Deportes Puerto Montt - Unión San Felipe Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Ureta L. (G) 2. Morales A. 4. Riveros M. 15. Egana K. 16. Flores J. 23. Castillo G. 18. Sabella A. 14. Cardenas J. 21. Espinoza F. 34. Gonzalez K. 9. Vazquez L.	12. Canete L. (G) 2. Perales V. 34. Suarez C. (C) 16. Fuentes D. 4. Ramirez M. 32. Gonzalez B. 10. Jara Gonzalez G. A. 6. Leon A. 14. Riveros B. 20. Fontana A. 9. Aravena B.
Substitutes
5. Calisto F. 29. Collao G. (G) 6. Diaz D. 24. Gonzalez J. 26. Mancilla N. 19. Taiva B. 10. Vargas C.	21. Brun N. 1. Fernandez A. (G) 27. Garcia L. 3. Guajardo Barrera B. 7. Henriquez O. 18. Munoz P. 8. Palmieri N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Vazquez L. ⚽,
41', 2 - 0, Riveros M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', 2 - 1, Suarez C. ⚽,
90+7', 3 - 1, Vargas C. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 12th and 15th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Puerto Montt won 3.

A prolonged slump in results has affected both clubs ahead of this encounter.

Unión San Felipe could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, Unión San Felipe has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

Puerto Montt is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Puerto Montt has recorded 6 wins, 5 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 15:20 (averaging 0.8:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Puerto Montt against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with 7:8 goals (averaging 0.8:0.9 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	D. Puerto Montt	29	11	5	13	29:36	-7	38
15	San Felipe	29	5	8	16	19:53	-34	23

Last Results with these Odds

Unión San Felipe - the odds 3.4 are the expected chance of winning is 26.22%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes Puerto Montt
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
18.10.26	San Marcos de Arica - Deportes Puerto Montt	0:0 ✺
12.10.26	Deportes Puerto Montt - San Luis de Quillota	0:1 ✺
03.10.26	Deportes Copiapó - Deportes Puerto Montt	3:0 ✺
Chilean Cup
29.09.26	Deportes Puerto Montt - Colo-Colo	0:1 ✺
26.09.26	Ñublense - Deportes Puerto Montt	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 TLLLL
- Unión San Felipe
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
18.10.26	Unión San Felipe - Deportes Temuco	2:2 ✺
12.10.26	Rangers de Talca - Unión San Felipe	4:0 ✺
04.10.26	Unión San Felipe - Deportes Iquique	0:2 ✺
30.09.26	Unión San Felipe - San Luis de Quillota	0:1 ✺
26.09.26	Unión San Felipe - Deportes Copiapó	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Liga de Ascenso
30.05.26	Unión San Felipe - Deportes Puerto Montt	1:0
14.10.23	Unión San Felipe - Deportes Puerto Montt	0:1
03.06.23	Deportes Puerto Montt - Unión San Felipe	1:1
11.11.22	Unión San Felipe - Deportes Puerto Montt	0:1
06.11.22	Deportes Puerto Montt - Unión San Felipe	2:1
16.10.22	Unión San Felipe - Deportes Puerto Montt	1:0
16.05.22	Deportes Puerto Montt - Unión San Felipe	2:1

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