Match Info

CHILE: PRIMERA B - ROUND 15

Date: 3 June 2023, Saturday


	Deportes Puerto Montt		Unión San Felipe

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.95	3.1
	2.1	3.05	3.25
	2.28	3.07	3.25
	2.2	2.88	3.2
	2.24	3	3.26	Watch
	2.24	3.05	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↓ (2.4)	3 ↓ (3.08)	3.19 ↑ (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportes Puerto Montt
41.1%

Draw
30.3%

Unión San Felipe
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

29.6%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40%

31.2%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Puerto Montt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Unión San Felipe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Puerto Montt than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión San Felipe than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Deportes Puerto Montt - Unión San Felipe Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Viana Caamano M. (C) 26. Bahamonde D. 21. Manzano F. 9. Opazo D. 8. Pucheta E. 23. Ramirez H. 10. Rosales R. 13. Silva Alamos M. I. 11. Soza Quezada C. 2. Torres M. 17. Villegas Jara G.	1. Heredia P. (G) 11. Briceno M. (C) 16. Cepeda C. 21. Espinoza G. 13. Garrido N. 4. Gonzalez Y. 6. Herrera H. 22. Jara Gonzalez G. A. 24. Lujan N. 8. Ormeno E. 9. Sosa F.
Substitutes
16. Antinirre H. 35. Barrientos F. 14. Colossi M. 24. Gallardo G. 34. Monges R. 1. Retamal D. (G) 4. Vidal Latorre E.	14. Aviles I. 10. Gomez F. 34. Henriquez B. 31. Moreno M. (G) 2. Muller I. 28. Plaza D. 17. Vega Arrieta Z. D.

Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Relegation ~ Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Puerto Montt won 3.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Puerto Montt will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Puerto Montt won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 13-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Puerto Montt won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes Puerto Montt
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
27.05.23	Barnechea - Deportes Puerto Montt	2:1 ✺
21.05.23	Deportes Puerto Montt - Deportes Antofagasta	1:4 ✺
13.05.23	San Marcos de Arica - Deportes Puerto Montt	2:0 ✺
09.05.23	Deportes Puerto Montt - Santiago Morning	1:0 ✺
30.04.23	Deportes Puerto Montt - Rangers de Talca	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LLLWW
- Unión San Felipe
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
28.05.23	Unión San Felipe - Universidad de Concepción	4:1 ✺
21.05.23	Deportes Recoleta - Unión San Felipe	2:1 ✺
16.05.23	Unión San Felipe - Cobreloa	2:2 ✺
12.05.23	Deportes Santa Cruz - Unión San Felipe	0:2 ✺
03.05.23	Unión San Felipe - Deportes La Serena	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Liga de Ascenso
11.11.22	Unión San Felipe - Deportes Puerto Montt	0:1
06.11.22	Deportes Puerto Montt - Unión San Felipe	2:1
16.10.22	Unión San Felipe - Deportes Puerto Montt	1:0
16.05.22	Deportes Puerto Montt - Unión San Felipe	2:1
28.08.21	Deportes Puerto Montt - Unión San Felipe	0:1
17.04.21	Unión San Felipe - Deportes Puerto Montt	2:3
08.11.20	Unión San Felipe - Deportes Puerto Montt	2:1

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