Match Info

Copa Chile - Round 5

Date: 5 July 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal Joaquín Muñoz García (Santa Cruz)

Where to Watch on TV:


Chile	TNT Sports


	Deportes Santa Cruz		Audax Italiano

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.50	2.20
	2.75	3.30	2.20
	2.80	3.20	2.28
	3.15	3.50	2.27
	3.08	3.26	2.25	Watch
	3.10	3.10	2.20
	3.05	3.10	2.23
	2.80	3.40	2.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.94 ↓ (3.06)	3.3 ↑ (3.28)	2.23 ↑ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Deportes Santa Cruz
31.2%

Draw
27.8%

Audax Italiano
41%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30%

27.9%

42%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29%

26.9%

43.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Santa Cruz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Audax Italiano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Santa Cruz than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Audax Italiano than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Deportes Santa Cruz - Audax Italiano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Dobboletta J. (C) 26. Moreno C. 22. Tati D. 20. Cavero H. 12. Alvarado F. 14. Plaza D. 4. Alucema G. 6. Orellana F. 16. Gonzalez J. 11. Pinto M. 30. Arias D.	1. Ahumada T. (G) 20. Jimenez M. 4. Pina D. 13. Ferrario E. 35. Rebolledo R. 8. Collao M. (C) 28. Mateos F. 6. Sandoval M. 7. Guajardo P. 21. Chiaverano G. 11. Troyansky F.
Substitutes
23. Barrios N. 5. Camisassa B. 32. Henriquez J. 1. Henriquez M. (G) 18. Herrera H. 13. Merino B. 24. Miranda B. 25. Moya G. 9. Zeineddin N.	9. Coelho D. 33. Fuenzalida I. 25. Garrido P. (G) 17. Loyola F. 14. Monreal D. 29. Ortiz M. 16. Rojas Munoz O. J. 22. Valdes M. 2. Zenteno V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', Mateos F. 🟨,
25', Orellana F. 🟨,
32', 0 - 1, Mateos F. ⚽, Collao M. (A),
42', Ferrario E. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Moreno C. ↓, Barrios N. ↑,
46', Orellana F. ↓, Camisassa B. ↑,
57', Tati D. 🟨,
63', Pinto M. ↓, Zeineddin N. ↑,
65', Chiaverano G. 🟨,
69', Rebolledo R. ↓, Monreal D. ↑,
69', Mateos F. ↓, Zenteno V. ↑,
71', 1 - 1, Plaza D. ⚽, Alvarado F. (A),
76', 2 - 1, Arias D. ⚽, Zeineddin N. (A),
77', Collao M. ↓, Rojas Munoz O. J. ↑,
80', Arias D. ↓, Herrera H. ↑,
84', Chiaverano G. ↓, Coelho D. ↑,
90+1', Gonzalez J. ↓, Miranda B. ↑,

Preview

Now, both teams are in good form.

Deportes Santa Cruz may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Audax Italiano has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Deportes Santa Cruz won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1:0.3).

Including home match between the teams, Deportes Santa Cruz won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Deportes Santa Cruz - the odds 3.06 are the expected chance of winning is 30.02%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes Santa Cruz
Chilean Cup
27.06.26	Deportes Santa Cruz - Palestino	0:0 ✺
19.06.26	Audax Italiano - Deportes Santa Cruz	0:1 ✺
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
06.06.26	Rangers de Talca - Deportes Santa Cruz	0:1 ✺
01.06.26	Deportes Santa Cruz - Deportes Copiapó	1:1 ✺
24.05.26	Deportes Antofagasta - Deportes Santa Cruz	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.1 TWWTT
- Audax Italiano
Chilean Cup
30.06.26	Audax Italiano - Palestino	3:2 ✺
27.06.26	Audax Italiano - Deportes Magallanes	2:1 ✺
23.06.26	Palestino - Audax Italiano	1:2 ✺
19.06.26	Audax Italiano - Deportes Santa Cruz	0:1 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
12.06.26	Audax Italiano - Deportes La Serena	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Cup
19.06.26	Audax Italiano - Deportes Santa Cruz	0:1
30.06.24	Audax Italiano - Deportes Santa Cruz	0:1
23.06.24	Deportes Santa Cruz - Audax Italiano	1:1

Upcoming Matches