The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportes Santa Cruz 31.5%
Draw 27.2%
Deportes Antofagasta 41.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
31%
27.5%
41.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.6%
26.3%
43.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportes Santa Cruz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
Deportes Antofagasta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Santa Cruz than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Antofagasta than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
Deportes Santa Cruz - Deportes Antofagasta Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
29. Dobboletta J. (C) 5. Camisassa B. 19. Flores E. 22. Tati D. 31. Romero N. 4. Alucema G. 8. Acevedo D. 14. Plaza D. 9. Zeineddin N. 23. Barrios N. 35. Brito P.
12. Hurtado Perez F. (C) 3. Maluenda M. 4. Tapia B. 13. Abuhadba Z. 22. Suarez M. 18. Sepulveda N. 20. Cuadra A. 26. Hinojosa S. 11. Bandez J. D. 9. Monreal J. 17. Hurtado B.
Substitutes
30. Arias D. 34. Castillo C. 20. Cavero H. 36. Islame Y. 10. Mederos S. 26. Moreno C. 1. Quezada M.
32. Aros V. 7. Bravo C. 25. Cisternas J. P. (G) 6. Diaz C. 21. Manzano F. 31. Ramirez S. 23. Siegler F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
35', Zeineddin N. ↓, Arias D. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Tati D. 🟨,
69', Bandez J. D. ↓, Aros V. ↑,
69', Hinojosa S. ↓, Manzano F. ↑,
70', Brito P. ↓, Moreno C. ↑,
70', Acevedo D. ↓, Islame Y. ↑,
80', Cuadra A. ↓, Diaz C. ↑,
88', Abuhadba Z. 🟨,
90', Barrios N. ↓, Mederos S. ↑,
90+6', Hurtado B. 🟨,
Preview
A high-stakes clash as a relegation-threatened team welcomes an elite contender (ranked 14th and 5th in the Promotion - Liga de Primera (Promotion - Playoffs - Quarter - finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportes Santa Cruz won 2.
Deportes Santa Cruz has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Antofagasta is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Deportes Santa Cruz could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Antofagasta has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
Antofagasta is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Deportes Santa Cruz has recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 10:8 (averaging 1.4:1.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Deportes Santa Cruz against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 6:1 goals (averaging 2:0.3 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
Antofagasta ✔
29
13
9
7
51:26
25
48
14
CD Santa Cruz
29
4
12
13
29:43
-14
24
Last Results with these Odds
Deportes Santa Cruz - the odds 2.88 are the expected chance of winning is 31%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.