The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportes Santa Cruz 27.8%
Draw 28.5%
OHiggins 43.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
23.2%
26.6%
50.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
22.7%
26%
51.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportes Santa Cruz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
OHiggins has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and OHiggins might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Santa Cruz than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportes Santa Cruz that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for OHiggins than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that OHiggins could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Deportes Santa Cruz - OHiggins Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
29. Dobboletta J. (C) 22. Tati D. 3. Cisternas N. 20. Cavero H. 31. Romero N. 26. Moreno C. 14. Plaza D. 11. Pinto M. 6. Orellana F. 35. Brito P. 30. Arias D.
31. Carabali O. (G) 15. Rojas B. 22. Robledo A. (C) 21. Garrido N. 20. Diaz L. 25. Schor I. 17. Aviles T. 8. Felipe Ogaz 30. Tapia J. 32. Vecino T. 7. Toloza S.
Substitutes
4. Alucema G. 21. Amestica J. 23. Barrios N. 5. Camisassa B. 1. Henriquez M. (G) 36. Islame Y. 25. Moya G. 7. Pardo C. 9. Zeineddin N.
28. Bou W. 23. Carreno D. (G) 9. Castillo A. 34. Leiva B. 11. Leiva J. 27. Movillo J. 38. Poblete J. 10. Rabello B. 29. Yanez B.
Coaches
Giovagnoli D.
Bovaglio L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Vecino T. ⚽,
28', Pinto M. ↓, Islame Y. ↑,
29', Schor I. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
62', Moreno C. ↓, Pardo C. ↑,
63', Dobboletta J. 🟨,
64', Vecino T. ↓, Castillo A. ↑,
64', Schor I. ↓, Leiva J. ↑,
66', 1 - 1, Islame Y. ⚽,
68', Tapia J. ↓, Bou W. ↑,
74', 1 - 2, Cisternas N. (Own goal),
75', 1 - 3, Castillo A. ⚽,
77', Orellana F. 🟨,
79', Felipe Ogaz ↓, Rabello B. ↑,
79', Diaz L. ↓, Poblete J. ↑,
88', Plaza D. ↓, Alucema G. ↑,
88', Brito P. ↓, Barrios N. ↑,
88', Arias D. ↓, Zeineddin N. ↑,
Preview
First leg result: 1-2.
The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with OHiggins holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Deportes Santa Cruz has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:9 (averaging 1.3:2.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Deportes Santa Cruz against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 3:2 goals.
Last Results with these Odds
Deportes Santa Cruz - the odds 3.99 are the expected chance of winning is 23.24%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.
OHiggins - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50.12%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Dobboletta J. (C) 
Tati D. 
Carabali O. (G) 
Vecino T. 
Islame Y. 
Castillo A. 
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