The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Unión San Felipe 37%
Draw 30%
Curicó Unido 33%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.6%
29.6%
27.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.7%
28.9%
27.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Unión San Felipe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Unión San Felipe's form might have worsened.
Curicó Unido has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Curicó Unido's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión San Felipe than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Unión San Felipe, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Curicó Unido than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Curicó Unido, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Unión San Felipe - Curicó Unido Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Canete L. (G) 3. Guajardo Barrera B. 5. Bravo D. 19. Serrano K. 27. Garcia L. 4. Ramirez M. 9. Aravena B. 10. Jara Gonzalez G. A. (C) 14. Riveros B. 17. Diaz Orostegui R. 18. Munoz P.
22. Tello D. (G) 3. Sarria G. 4. Colombo R. 19. de La Fuente R. (C) 39. Gomez J. 5. Guisolfo B. 15. Sanhueza H. 28. Ibarra H. 7. Fernandez N. 9. Benegas L. 17. Inostroza B.
Substitutes
21. Brun N. 1. Fernandez A. (G) 20. Fontana A. 28. Jara I. 6. Leon A. 2. Perales V. 25. Sanchez V.
6. Acevedo D. 41. Jacinto R. 25. Lopes Acevedo M. 14. Medina C. 10. Retamales J. 8. Romo J. 1. Vergara T. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
23', de La Fuente R. 🟨,
23', Diaz Orostegui R. 🟨,
30', Bravo D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Aravena B. ↓, Brun N. ↑,
48', Riveros B. 🟨,
54', Ibarra H. ↓, Lopes Acevedo M. ↑,
58', Diaz Orostegui R. ↓, Leon A. ↑,
58', Riveros B. ↓, Jara I. ↑,
58', Munoz P. ↓, Fontana A. ↑,
65', Inostroza B. ↓, Retamales J. ↑,
65', Sarria G. ↓, Romo J. ↑,
66', Serrano K. 🟨,
90+9', Lopes Acevedo M. 🟨,
Preview
In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 15 and 14).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unión San Felipe won 2.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Unión San Felipe might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Unión San Felipe won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:21. (average 1.7:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Unión San Felipe won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:8. (average 2.6:1.6).
Watch
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Canete L. (G) 
Tello D. (G) 
Guisolfo B. 
Jacinto R. 
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