Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 8

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Riazor (La Coruña)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Dsports 9
Canada	TSN+
Croatia	Arena Sport 10, MAXtv To Go
Ecuador	DSports 9
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 10, Free
India	FanCode, FanCode
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Peru	DSports 9
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, Movistar Plus+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+


	Deportivo A Coruña		Almería

	1	X	2
	1.96	3.25	3.7	Watch
	1.98	3.25	3.6
	2	3.3	3.65
	2.02	3.46	4.02
	2.14	3.02	3.76	Watch
	2.01	3.36	3.68	Watch
	2.01	3.35	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (2.05)	3.28 ↓ (3.44)	3.73 ↑ (3.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo A Coruña
46.4%

Draw
28.5%

Almería
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.5%

27.7%

25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48%

26.8%

25%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo A Coruña has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Almería has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo A Coruña than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almería than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.9%	10.5%	10.5%

Deportivo A Coruña - Almería Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Deportivo (2.94) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Deportivo A Coruña will win (15 of 18 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 66.11% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Deportivo A Coruña will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Deportivo (votes: 7 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Parreno G. (G) 23. Navarro X. 15. Loureiro M. 5. Barcia D. 12. Quagliata G. 19. Cruz Luismi 8. Villares D. (C) 6. Patino C. 21. Soriano M. 7. Mulattieri S. 10. Hernandez Y.	1. Fernandez A. (G) 22. Chirino D. 4. Monte N. 18. Bonini F. 3. Munoz A. 29. Dzodic S. 6. Horta A. 2. Puigmal A. 11. Arribas S. 10. Melamed N. 12. Leo Baptistao (C)
Substitutes
3. Comas A. 9. Eddahchouri Z. 17. Herrera C. 20. Jurado J. 35. Lopez R. 28. Mane A. 4. Noubi L. 13. Puerto E. (G) 22. Stoichkov	14. Baba I. 20. Centelles A. 21. Chumi 5. Clua S. 8. Gui Guedes 15. Hernandez A. 16. Luna M. 13. Martinez F. (G) 36. Perovic M. 24. Robertone L. 19. Soko P. 9. Thalys
Coaches
Hidalgo A.	Rubi

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
20', Cruz Luismi 🟨,
23', 0 - 1, Bonini F. ⚽, Melamed N. (A),
26', Hidalgo A. 🟨,
28', Munoz A. 🟨,
43', Navarro X. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', Dzodic S. 🟨,
55', Patino C. ↓, Eddahchouri Z. ↑,
59', Puigmal A. ↓, Luna M. ↑,
60', Leo Baptistao ↓, Soko P. ↑,
62', 1 - 1, Hernandez Y. ⚽, Eddahchouri Z. (A),
64', Navarro X. ↓, Noubi L. ↑,
64', Mulattieri S. ↓, Stoichkov ↑,
67', Horta A. ↓, Baba I. ↑,
67', Dzodic S. ↓, Gui Guedes ↑,
71', Baba I. 🟨,
88', Villares D. ↓, Jurado J. ↑,
88', Cruz Luismi ↓, Herrera C. ↑,
89', Melamed N. ↓, Perovic M. ↑,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo won 1.

Deportivo is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Almería has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Almería may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Deportivo might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Deportivo: Escudero S. (Muscle Injury) Mella D. (International duty)

There will not play in Almería: Embarba A. (Red Card) Lopy D. (Injury)

There are questionable in Deportivo: Gragera J. (Injury) Jurado J. (Groin Injury)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Deportivo won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 0.6:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 0.8:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo A Coruña
Spanish LaLiga2
27.09.25	Eibar - Deportivo A Coruña	1:1 ✺
19.09.25	Deportivo A Coruña - Huesca	4:0 ✺
13.09.25	Mirandés - Deportivo A Coruña	1:5 ✺
06.09.25	Deportivo A Coruña - Sporting de Gijón	1:0 ✺
01.09.25	Leganés - Deportivo A Coruña	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 TWWWT
- UD Almería
Spanish LaLiga2
27.09.25	Las Palmas - Almería	0:1 ✺
20.09.25	Almería - Sporting de Gijón	2:1 ✺
13.09.25	Valladolid - Almería	3:1 ✺
07.09.25	Almería - Racing Santander	2:3 ✺
29.08.25	Real Sociedad B - Almería	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
09.02.25	Deportivo A Coruña - Almería	3:1
17.11.24	Almería - Deportivo A Coruña	2:1
07.03.20	Almería - Deportivo A Coruña	4:0
06.10.19	Deportivo A Coruña - Almería	0:0
22.03.19	Deportivo A Coruña - Almería	0:0
19.11.18	Almería - Deportivo A Coruña	1:1
Spanish LaLiga
28.02.15	Almería - Deportivo A Coruña	0:0

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