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Almería - Racing Santander: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide

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Match Info

  • LaLiga2 - Round 4
  • Date: 7 September 2025, Sunday
  • Location: UD Almería Stadium (Almería)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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    Almería Racing Santander
    Almería Racing Santander
    1 X 2
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    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.66 ↓
    (1.7)    		 4.08 ↑
    (4.01)    		 4.83 ↑
    (4.4)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

    • The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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    Current Win Probability

    Almería
    57.1%    		Draw
    23.3%    		Racing Santander
    19.7%

    Initial Probability

    (when we started the analysis)
    55.2% 23.4% 21.4%

    Our Initial ML Estimation

    62.5% 26.5% 18.9%


    Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Almería has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • Racing Santander has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almería than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Almería, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing Santander than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

    • Who will win by Users?

    1
    X
    2
    38.1% 33.3% 28.6%

    Almería - Racing Santander Predictions

  • Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Almería will win (votes: 8 - 38.1%). Racing will win (votes: 6 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Almería: 17.3% – 58.9%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Almería (votes: 2 - 40%). Racing (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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    Lineups

    Starting Lineups
      1. SpainFernandez A. (G)
    16. SpainLuna M.
    14. GhanaBaba I.
    18. ItalyBonini F.
      3. SpainMunoz A.
    17. SenegalLopy D.
      8. PortugalGui Guedes
    23. SpainEmbarba A.
    11. SpainArribas S.
    10. SpainMelamed N.
    12. BrazilLeo Baptistao (C)
    		  1. SpainEzkieta J. (G)
      2. SpainMantilla A. (C)
      4. SpainManu
      5. SpainCastro J.
      3. SpainGarcia M.
      8. SpainAldasoro A.
    19. ColombiaPuerta G.
    11. SpainMartin A.
    10. SpainVicente I.
    15. SpainSangalli M.
    12. SpainVillalibre A.
    Substitutes
    20. SpainCentelles A.
    22. NetherlandsChirino D.
      5. SpainClua S.
    32. SpainFidel Cedillo Segura P.
      6. PortugalHorta A.
      7. BrazilLazaro
    13. SpainMartinez F. (G)
      2. SpainPuigmal A.
    24. ArgentinaRobertone L.
      9. BrazilThalys
    		  7. SpainCabanzon Y.
    20. GambiaCamara S.
    35. SpainGomez Rodriguez L. (G)
    16. UruguayGonzalez F.
    29. EcuadorJeremy Arevalo
    17. FranceMichelin C.
    21. SpainRamon P.
      6. SpainSainz-Maza I.
    43. SpainSanti F.
    Coaches
         SpainRubi
    		     SpainLopez J.

    Key Events of the Match

    • 1st Half (2 - 0)
    • 11', 1 - 0, Embarba A. ⚽, Arribas S. (A),
    • 19', 2 - 0, Melamed N. ⚽, Leo Baptistao (A),
    • 27', Lopy D. 🟥,
    • 36', Aldasoro A. 🟨,
    • 37', Leo Baptistao 🟨,
    • 45+2', Mantilla A. 🟨,
    • 2nd Half (0 - 3)
    • 46', Melamed N. ↓, Clua S. ↑,
    • 46', Mantilla A. ↓, Michelin C. ↑,
    • 46', Garcia M. ↓, Ramon P. ↑,
    • 46', Aldasoro A. ↓, Jeremy Arevalo ↑,
    • 57', 2 - 1, Jeremy Arevalo ⚽, Vicente I. (A),
    • 59', 2 - 2, Jeremy Arevalo ⚽,
    • 64', Leo Baptistao ↓, Lazaro ↑,
    • 65', Embarba A. ↓, Puigmal A. ↑,
    • 65', Luna M. ↓, Chirino D. ↑,
    • 73', Villalibre A. ↓, Santi F. ↑,
    • 74', Baba I. ↓, Centelles A. ↑,
    • 75', 2 - 3, Puerta G. ⚽, Michelin C. (A),
    • 83', Vicente I. 🟨,
    • 84', Vicente I. ↓, Camara S. ↑,
    • 90+1', Munoz A. 🟨,
    • 90+2', Chirino D. 🟨,

    Preview

  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Almería won 1.
  • Recent performances by Almería have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
  • Racing is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
  • Recently, Racing has had a series of home games.
  • In this match, Almería is seen as the favorite.
  • There will not play in Almería: Iribarne B. (Inactive) Monte N. (Ankle Injury)
  • There will not play in Racing: Arana J. (Injury) Gueye M. (Injury) Michelin C. (Injury)
  • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Almería won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.5:1.4).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Almería won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).

    • Form
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - UD Almería
    Spanish LaLiga2
    29.08.25 Real Sociedad B - Almería 2:2 ✺
    24.08.25 Leonesa - Almería 0:1 ✺
    18.08.25 Almería - Albacete Balompié 4:4 ✺
    Club Friendly
    10.08.25 Almería - Al-Nassr Riyadh 3:2 ✺
    08.08.25 Elche - Almería 1:0 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17
    TWTWL
    - Racing Santander
    Spanish LaLiga2
    30.08.25 Racing Santander - Ceuta 4:1 ✺
    25.08.25 Albacete Balompié - Racing Santander 2:3 ✺
    16.08.25 Racing Santander - Castellón 3:1 ✺
    Club Friendly
    09.08.25 Racing Santander - Cagliari 1:1 ✺
    09.08.25 Racing Santander - Cagliari 0:0 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7
    WWWTT
    Latest Head to Head
    Spanish LaLiga2
    18.05.25 Almería - Racing Santander 2:0
    18.08.24 Racing Santander - Almería 2:2
    07.02.20 Almería - Racing Santander 0:1
    24.08.19 Racing Santander - Almería 1:1
    Spanish Copa del Rey
    14.01.14 Almería - Racing Santander 0:2
    08.01.14 Racing Santander - Almería 1:1
    Spanish LaLiga2
    05.05.13 Almería - Racing Santander 2:1
    Upcoming Matches
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - UD Almería
    Spanish LaLiga2
    11.10.26 Almería - Leganés ✺
    - Racing Santander
    Spanish LaLiga
    11.10.26 Racing Santander - Valencia ✺

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