The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportivo A Coruña B 47.2%
Draw 29%
Numancia 23.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.7%
30.4%
28%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.9%
29.5%
27.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo A Coruña B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo A Coruña B's performance.
Numancia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo A Coruña B than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Numancia than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
Deportivo A Coruña B - Numancia Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
38', 1 - 0, Najera M. ⚽,
42', 2 - 0, Carillo N. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
50', 2 - 1, Alvarez P. ⚽,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 7).
Deportivo B is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Numancia has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Deportivo B may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Deportivo B could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Deportivo B won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).
Including home match between the teams, Deportivo B won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.