Match Info

Club Friendly

Date: 2 October 2026, Friday


	Deportivo A Coruña		Porto

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.40	2.45
	2.37	3.40	2.45
	2.20	3.30	2.75
	2.38	3.85	2.55
	2.45	3.69	2.6	Watch
	2.30	3.80	2.40
	2.54	3.53	2.54
	2.40	3.40	2.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↓ (3.2)	3.55 ↑ (3.5)	2.52 ↑ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo A Coruña
38.2%

Draw
25.7%

Porto
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.1%

25.7%

46.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.5%

25.2%

47.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo A Coruña has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo A Coruña's performance.

Porto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Porto might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo A Coruña than the current prediction. (-10.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo A Coruña that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Porto than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Porto could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Deportivo A Coruña - Porto Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Roman L. (G) 18. Asp J. 5. Barcia D. 3. Comas A. 10. Hernandez Y. 15. Loureiro M. 11. Mella D. 12. Quagliata G. 33. Sanchez K. 21. Soriano M. 8. Villares D.	14. Claudio Ramos (G) 20. Costa A. 74. Moura F. 11. Pepê 17. Sainz B. 9. Samu 58. Silva T. 6. Smalling C. 33. Souza 22. Varela A. 7. William Gomes
Substitutes
17. Angelino 37. Carrillo N. 25. Fernandez A. (G) 34. Fons F. 31. Fraga A. 35. Gil I. 36. Gonzalez Y. 23. Navarro X. 1. Parreno G. (G) 28. Teijo Q. 24. Traore A.	. Abreu J. . Andre Silva . Ferreira T. . Gabriel Mec . Gabriel Veron . Gomes L. . Kaue . Nikolov A. (G) . Pereira Y. . Ribeiro A. . Silva G. (G) . Teixeira J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Asp J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
56', 🟨,
60', 1 - 1, Sainz B. ⚽,
64', 1 - 2, Andre Silva ⚽,
67', 🟨,
71', 🟨,
90', 1 - 3, Andre Silva ⚽,

Preview

Deportivo has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Porto shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Porto could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Porto is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Deportivo has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 0:4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo A Coruña
Club Friendly
25.09.26	Penafiel - Deportivo A Coruña	2:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
20.09.26	Deportivo A Coruña - Betis	1:1 ✺
16.09.26	Deportivo A Coruña - Sevilla	0:1 ✺
13.09.26	Getafe - Deportivo A Coruña	1:1 ✺
05.09.26	Villarreal - Deportivo A Coruña	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.6 TTLTW
- FC Porto
Liga Portugal
20.09.26	Porto - Benfica	3:1 ✺
12.09.26	Casa Pia - Porto	1:4 ✺
UEFA Champions League
08.09.26	Porto - Manchester City	0:2 ✺
Liga Portugal
04.09.26	Porto - Moreirense	2:1 ✺
29.08.26	Académico de Viseu - Porto	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
30.07.17	Porto - Deportivo A Coruña	4:0

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