Match Info

LaLiga - Round 6

Date: 16 September 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Riazor (La Coruña)

Referee: Cuadra G. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 4
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Vietnam	SCTV Online


	Deportivo A Coruña		Sevilla

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.10	2.75	Watch
	2.65	3.10	2.75
	2.75	3.00	2.85	Watch
	2.81	3.12	2.91
	2.66	3.05	2.91	Watch
	2.75	3.05	2.80
	2.77	3.13	2.77	Watch
	2.80	3.20	2.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↑ (2.51)	3.09 ↓ (3.18)	2.82 ↓ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo A Coruña
35%

Draw
31%

Sevilla
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

29.9%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

31.4%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo A Coruña has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Sevilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo A Coruña than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sevilla than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.4%	65.4%	19.2%

Deportivo A Coruña - Sevilla Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Deportivo will win (votes: 4 - 15.4%). Sevilla will win (votes: 5 - 19.2%). It will Tie (votes: 17 - 65.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 47.1% – 83.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Deportivo (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (2.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.88) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH 0 - Deportivo (1.83) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DNB - Sevilla (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Sevilla (1.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

BTTS - yes (1.95) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Deportivo (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Sevilla (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Roman L. (G) 2. Altimira A. 20. Gimenez J. 15. Loureiro M. 17. Angelino 19. Cruz Luismi 16. Amatucci L. 14. Rodriguez R. 10. Hernandez Y. (C) 32. Nsongo B. 7. Aubameyang P.	1. Vlachodimos O. (G) 2. Iglesias J. 5. Castrin 4. Salas K. 17. Suazo G. (C) 6. Agoume L. 24. Fofana Y. 30. Sierra M. 18. Guridi J. 20. Correia F. 19. Stassin L.
Substitutes
18. Asp J. 6. Casado M. 9. Eddahchouri Z. 22. Ede B. 25. Fernandez A. (G) 11. Mella D. 23. Navarro X. 4. Noubi L. 12. Quagliata G. 21. Soriano M. 24. Traore A. 8. Villares D.	14. Bueno M. 22. Carmona J. A. 3. Diaz J. 21. Ejuke C. 13. Fran (G) 7. Gonzalez A. 8. Kochorashvili G. 23. Marcao 34. Munoz I. 10. Peque 16. Romero I. 9. Ure R.
Coaches
Hidalgo A.	Garcia L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Nsongo B. ↓, Traore A. ↑,
52', 0 - 1, Sierra M. ⚽,
57', Rodriguez R. ↓, Soriano M. ↑,
57', Hernandez Y. ↓, Asp J. ↑,
59', Angelino 🟥,
61', Cruz Luismi ↓, Quagliata G. ↑,
65', Salas K. 🟨,
76', Stassin L. ↓, Romero I. ↑,
77', Amatucci L. 🟨,
79', Guridi J. 🟨,
81', Guridi J. ↓, Kochorashvili G. ↑,
81', Correia F. ↓, Diaz J. ↑,
83', Gimenez J. ↓, Eddahchouri Z. ↑,
90+1', Sierra M. ↓, Ure R. ↑,
90+4', Romero I. 🟨,
90+6', Iglesias J. 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 7 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo won 0.

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Sevilla may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Sevilla: Sangante A. (Ankle Injury) Vargas R. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Deportivo: Carrillo N. (Ankle Injury)

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Deportivo won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 11:24. (average 1:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 1.2:2).

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga for now

Sevilla: 0.24% Dep. A Coruna: 0.14%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Sevilla	7	4	1	2	10:9	1	13
7	Dep. A Coruna	7	2	4	1	10:8	2	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo A Coruña
Spanish LaLiga
13.09.26	Getafe - Deportivo A Coruña	1:1 ✺
05.09.26	Villarreal - Deportivo A Coruña	2:3 ✺
30.08.26	Deportivo A Coruña - Valencia	3:1 ✺
24.08.26	Málaga - Deportivo A Coruña	1:1 ✺
17.08.26	Deportivo A Coruña - Elche	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.9 TWWTT
- Sevilla FC
Spanish LaLiga
11.09.26	Sevilla - Valencia	1:0 ✺
06.09.26	Espanyol - Sevilla	1:1 ✺
29.08.26	Sevilla - Atlético Madrid	1:3 ✺
22.08.26	Athletic Bilbao - Sevilla	1:3 ✺
15.08.26	Sevilla - Rayo Vallecano	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
17.04.18	Deportivo A Coruña - Sevilla	0:0
02.12.17	Sevilla - Deportivo A Coruña	2:0
08.04.17	Sevilla - Deportivo A Coruña	4:2
19.11.16	Deportivo A Coruña - Sevilla	2:3
17.04.16	Sevilla - Deportivo A Coruña	1:1
05.12.15	Deportivo A Coruña - Sevilla	1:1
07.03.15	Deportivo A Coruña - Sevilla	3:4

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