Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 7

Date: 28 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio José Zorrilla (Valladolid)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Norway	TV2 Play
Peru	Disney+
Spain	DAZN Espana, Orange Futbol 2
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Valladolid		Leonesa

	1	X	2
	1.46	4.33	5.75	Watch
	1.5	4.05	6.1
	1.52	4.3	6.69
	2.29	3.64	2.83	Watch
	1.54	4.2	6.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↑ (1.46)	4.1 ↓ (4.48)	5.49 ↓ (6.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valladolid
58.6%

Draw
23.7%

Leonesa
17.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.9%

21.2%

13.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.6%

20.7%

13.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valladolid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Valladolid's form might have worsened.

Leonesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valladolid than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Valladolid, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	11.1%	22.2%

Valladolid - Leonesa Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Valladolid will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Leonesa will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Valladolid: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Valladolid (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Guilherme Fernandes (G) 14. Alejo I. 15. Tomeo P. 4. Torres D. 3. Bueno G. 8. Meseguer Cavas V. A. 6. Lachuer M. 11. Ndiaye A. 21. Ponceau J. 17. Biuk S. 9. Latasa J.	13. Badia E. (G) 24. Garcia V. 4. Rodri Suarez (C) 16. Ribeiro T. 21. Hinojo R. 22. Pibe 28. Ojeda T. 14. Bicho 7. Collado D. 10. Chacon L. 19. Sobrino R.
Substitutes
1. Aceves A. (G) 12. Alani I. 34. Aranda J. L. 19. Arnuncio A. 7. Canos S. 18. Delgado J. 27. Garriel I. 32. Koke 28. Moreno X. 22. Peter Federico 5. Sanchez J. 2. Trilli	1. Banuz M. (G) 36. Barzic M. 11. Cortes P. 23. Diallo Selu M. 8. Gonzalez Y. 9. Justo M. 33. Larios J. 37. Luengo C. 18. Paraschiv D. 26. Rafus A. (G) 15. Ribeiro L. 31. Toca N.
Coaches
Almada G.	Ziganda C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Collado D. ⚽, Sobrino R. (A),
19', Hinojo R. 🟨,
23', Almada G. 🟨,
33', Latasa J. 🟨,
38', Alejo I. 🟨,
41', Ndiaye A. ↓, Peter Federico ↑,
45', Tomeo P. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Bueno G. ↓, Garriel I. ↑,
59', Ponceau J. ↓, Canos S. ↑,
64', Collado D. 🟨,
72', Biuk S. ↓, Delgado J. ↑,
73', Lachuer M. ↓, Alani I. ↑,
73', Bicho ↓, Gonzalez Y. ↑,
73', Collado D. ↓, Larios J. ↑,
74', Garcia V. ↓, Barzic M. ↑,
75', Ribeiro T. 🟨,
80', Pibe ↓, Diallo Selu M. ↑,
83', Alejo I. ↓, Trilli ↑,
84', Hinojo R. ↓, Cortes P. ↑,
88', Sobrino R. ↓, Justo M. ↑,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Valladolid may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Valladolid is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in Valladolid: Chuki (Injury) Delgado J. (Injury) Jaouab M. (Injury) Marcos Andre (Injury) Maroto M. (Health problems)

There will not play in Leonesa: Calero I. (Red Card) Maestre S. (Knee Injury) Satrustegui E. (Knee Injury) Tresaco R. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Leonesa: Barzic M. (Injury)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Valladolid won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:6. (average 3:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Valladolid won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Valladolid
Spanish LaLiga2
21.09.25	Albacete Balompié - Valladolid	2:0 ✺
13.09.25	Valladolid - Almería	3:1 ✺
06.09.25	Zaragoza - Valladolid	1:1 ✺
30.08.25	Valladolid - Córdoba	0:0 ✺
22.08.25	Castellón - Valladolid	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LWTTW
- Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa
Spanish LaLiga2
20.09.25	Leonesa - Castellón	1:3 ✺
14.09.25	Racing Santander - Leonesa	2:4 ✺
Club Friendly
10.09.25	Alcorcón - Leonesa	0:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
07.09.25	Leonesa - Leganés	0:0 ✺
29.08.25	Sporting de Gijón - Leonesa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
03.02.18	Valladolid - Leonesa	3:2
Spanish Copa del Rey
21.09.17	Leonesa - Valladolid	0:4
Spanish LaLiga2
10.09.17	Leonesa - Valladolid	4:4
Club Friendly
01.03.17	Leonesa - Valladolid	0:1

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