Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga - Round 4

Date: 1 September 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Mendizorrotza (Vitoria-Gasteiz)

Referee: Garcia V. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Deportivo Alavés		Las Palmas

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.6	5	Watch
	1.75	3.5	5
	1.72	3.6	5.5	Watch
	1.88	3.44	4.7
	1.77	3.63	5.12	Watch
	1.73	3.5	5.5
	1.78	3.74	5.39	Watch
	1.72	3.6	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (1.86)	3.58 ↑ (3.52)	5.21 ↑ (4.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Alavés
54.7%

Draw
26.9%

Las Palmas
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.5%

27.2%

21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58%

30.7%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Alavés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Las Palmas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Alavés than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Las Palmas than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75.8%	12.1%	12.1%

Deportivo Alavés - Las Palmas Predictions

Users Predictions: Deportivo Alavés will win (23 of 29 users predict this - 79.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.57% – 94.05%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sivera A. (G) 14. Tenaglia N. (C) 5. Abqar A. 4. Sedlar A. 3. Sanchez M. 7. Vicente C. 18. Guridi J. 8. Blanco A. 10. Conechny T. 19. Stoichkov 17. Garcia K.	1. Cillessen J. (G) 18. Viti 4. Alex Suarez 15. McKenna S. 3. Marmol M. 17. Mata J. 5. Javier Munoz 8. Campana J. 20. Rodriguez K. (C) 14. Fuster M. 16. McBurnie O.
Substitutes
23. Benavidez C. 22. Diarra M. 6. Guevara A. 15. Martin C. 11. Martinez T. 12. Mourino S. 16. Novoa Ramos H. 13. Owono J. (G) 36. Pica A. 21. Rebbach A. 20. Romero L. 9. Villalibre A.	9. Cardona M. 21. Gil I. 6. Gonzalez F. 28. Herzog J. 30. Killane A. (G) 12. Loiodice E. 2. Marvin 10. Moleiro A. 23. Munoz A. 31. Puig V. (G) 11. Ramirez B. 19. Ramirez S.
Coaches
Garcia L.	Carrion L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Vicente C. ⚽, Stoichkov (A),
32', Guridi J. 🟨,
45', Conechny T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Fuster M. ↓, Moleiro A. ↑,
58', Mata J. ↓, Ramirez S. ↑,
58', Viti ↓, Marvin ↑,
64', Conechny T. ↓, Martin C. ↑,
64', Garcia K. ↓, Martinez T. ↑,
64', Campana J. ↓, Loiodice E. ↑,
70', Stoichkov ↓, Guevara A. ↑,
77', Rodriguez K. ↓, Cardona M. ↑,
78', 2 - 0, Martinez T. ⚽,
82', Guridi J. ↓, Novoa Ramos H. ↑,
82', Vicente C. ↓, Romero L. ↑,
83', Abqar A. 🟨,
90+4', Romero L. (Pen),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Alavés won 1.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Alavés could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Alavés is a favorite.

There will not play in Las Palmas: Januzaj A. (Muscle Injury) Pejino (Muscle Injury)

Last 12 head-to-head matches Alavés won 3 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 16-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Alavés won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Alavés
Spanish LaLiga
28.08.24	Real Sociedad - Deportivo Alavés	1:2 ✺
25.08.24	Deportivo Alavés - Betis	0:0 ✺
16.08.24	Celta de Vigo - Deportivo Alavés	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
10.08.24	Deportivo Alavés - Osasuna	2:1 ✺
07.08.24	Deportivo Alavés - Huesca	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 WTLWT
- UD Las Palmas
Spanish LaLiga
29.08.24	Las Palmas - Real Madrid	1:1 ✺
25.08.24	Leganés - Las Palmas	2:1 ✺
16.08.24	Las Palmas - Sevilla	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
11.08.24	Liverpool - Las Palmas	0:0 ✺
03.08.24	Las Palmas - Unión Sur Yaiza	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 TLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
26.05.24	Las Palmas - Deportivo Alavés	1:1
09.12.23	Deportivo Alavés - Las Palmas	0:1
Spanish LaLiga2
27.05.23	Las Palmas - Deportivo Alavés	0:0
03.09.22	Deportivo Alavés - Las Palmas	1:1
Spanish LaLiga
22.04.18	Las Palmas - Deportivo Alavés	0:4
08.12.17	Deportivo Alavés - Las Palmas	2:0
23.04.17	Las Palmas - Deportivo Alavés	1:1

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