The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportivo Armenio 33.9%
Draw 32.7%
Sportivo Italiano 33.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.3%
30.7%
33%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.8%
32%
31.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Armenio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
Sportivo Italiano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Armenio than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Italiano than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
100%
0%
Deportivo Armenio - Sportivo Italiano Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 4 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Yordan G. (G)
4. Bifiguer C.
8. Centurion F.
3. Daivez A.
10. Gimenez K.
9. Guzman M.
7. Laborda L.
6. Merzario E.
11. Molina F.
2. Ordonez C.
5. Rivero J.
Substitutes
12. Alastra A. (G)
19. Caceres P.
18. De Cuadro J.
13. Di Massimo F.
14. Durante P.
16. Fortino R.
20. Gomez F.
15. Guerra A.
17. Hirigoyen T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Centurion F. 🟨,
26', Almanza F. 🟨,
31', Barrionuevo D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', Palma L. 🟨,
61', Palma L. ↓, Pellegrino L. ↑,
68', 🟨,
71', Gimenez K. ↓, Hirigoyen T. ↑,
71', Laborda L. ↓, Fortino R. ↑,
76', Villalva L. ↓, Suanez T. ↑,
80', Molina F. ↓, Gomez F. ↑,
80', Centurion F. ↓, De Cuadro J. ↑,
84', 1 - 0, Herrera Jonathan N. (Penalty Awarded),
87', Daivez A. ↓, Caceres P. ↑,
90+2', 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Armenio won 2.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Armenio won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 23:12. (average 1.5:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Armenio won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:6. (average 1.6:0.9).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
Sportivo Italiano
38
18
11
9
45:28
17
65
8
Deportivo Armenio
38
17
9
12
42:38
4
60
Last Results with these Odds
Deportivo Armenio - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 36.33%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.
Sportivo Italiano - the odds 2.7 are the expected chance of winning is 32.97%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.