The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Defensores Unidos 27.7%
Draw 33.8%
Deportivo Armenio 38.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
31.5%
31.5%
37%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.7%
31.6%
36.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Defensores Unidos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
Deportivo Armenio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensores Unidos than the current prediction. (+4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Armenio than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Defensores Unidos - Deportivo Armenio Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Henricot F. (G) 4. Alarcon M. N. 5. Baigorria A. 10. Gimenez M. (C) 2. Lopez J. 11. Olivera L. 3. Rapetti M. 8. Redondo K. 9. Salvo D. 7. Sombra A. 6. Suarez F.
1. Nistal N. (G) 8. Almanza F. 10. Barrionuevo D. 6. Echeverria J. 11. Herrera Jonathan N. 2. Marchesini F. 3. Mosca N. 4. Ortiz B. 9. Pellegrino L. 7. Suanez T. 5. Tello F. (C)
Substitutes
18. Carboni B. 14. Ferreyra T. 17. Girard T. 15. Gomez Z. 20. Herrera S. 13. Iribarne S. 19. Pattini T. 12. Salerno F. (G) 16. Tello H.
13. Aguirre E. 14. Avalos S. 19. Brandan J. 16. Gerez R. 15. Gomez C. 17. Guenzani J. 18. Lagomarsino S. 12. Mugica J. (G) 20. Palma L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Barrionuevo D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Rapetti M. ↓, Girard T. ↑,
62', 🟨,
66', Sombra A. 🟨,
66', Salvo D. ↓, Carboni B. ↑,
68', Herrera Jonathan N. ↓, Guenzani J. ↑,
68', Barrionuevo D. ↓, Gomez C. ↑,
86', Sombra A. ↓, Tello H. ↑,
90+4', Marchesini F. 🟨,
Preview
A lower-table team faces a stern test hosting a top-ranking contender (ranked 20th and 7th in the Promotion - Primera B Promotion - Playoffs).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Defensores Unidos won 2.
Defensores Unidos has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Deportivo Armenio is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Deportivo Armenio holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, Defensores Unidos has recorded 6 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 11:10 (averaging 0.8:0.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Defensores Unidos against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 7:4 goals (averaging 1.2:0.7 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
8
Deportivo Armenio ✔
41
17
11
13
42:39
3
62
18
Defensores Unidos
41
10
15
16
34:40
-6
45
Last Results with these Odds
Defensores Unidos - the odds 2.8 are the expected chance of winning is 31.48%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.