Match Info

Primera B - Round 38

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio de los Inmigrantes (Buenos Aires)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Sportivo Dock Sud		Deportivo Armenio

	1	X	2
	2.65	2.95	2.45
	2.55	2.85	2.55	Watch
	2.91	3.06	2.46
	2.79	3.06	2.45	Watch
	2.75	3.00	2.40
	2.87	3.03	2.56
	2.70	3.00	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↑ (2.61)	2.99 ↑ (2.86)	2.46 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sportivo Dock Sud
33%

Draw
30.3%

Deportivo Armenio
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

31.3%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.2%

31.2%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sportivo Dock Sud has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Deportivo Armenio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Dock Sud than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Armenio than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Sportivo Dock Sud - Deportivo Armenio Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tello T. (G) 11. Alvarez I. 3. Barreiro A. 5. Chamorro T. 10. Gomez G. 6. Meza F. 8. Perrone H. 4. Rodriguez F. 7. Villalba B. 2. Villarreal S. 9. Vivas S.	1. Nistal N. (G) 8. Almanza F. 10. Barrionuevo D. 2. Cardozo I. 6. Echeverria J. 3. Mosca N. 4. Ortiz B. 11. Palma L. 9. Pellegrino L. 5. Tello F. 7. Villalva L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
2', 0 - 1, Herrera Jonathan N. ⚽,
9', 🟨,
45', 0 - 2, Herrera Jonathan N. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Arriola B. ↓, Alvarez I. ↑,
46', Gualtieri G. ↓, Arias A. ↑,
49', Alvarez I. 🟨,
57', 🟨,
58', Villalva L. 🟨,
61', 0 - 3, Pellegrino L. ⚽,
62', Villalva L. ↓, Gomez C. ↑,
62', Pellegrino L. ↓, Palma L. ↑,
66', Perrone H. ↓, Avalos A. ↑,
66', Chamorro T. ↓, Gauna M. ↑,
72', Barrionuevo D. ↓, Gerez R. ↑,
73', Palma L. 🟨,
73', Villalba B. 🟨,
82', Mosca N. ↓, Avalos S. ↑,
82', Tello F. ↓, Guenzani J. ↑,

Preview

A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 11th and 7th in the Promotion - Primera B Promotion - Playoffs).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dock Sud won 1.

Dock Sud is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Deportivo Armenio is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 18 head-to-head meetings, Dock Sud has recorded 3 wins, 7 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 14:22 (averaging 0.8:1.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Dock Sud against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, with 7:12 goals (averaging 0.8:1.3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Deportivo Armenio	38	17	9	12	42:38	4	60
12	Dock Sud	38	11	14	13	40:42	-2	47

Last Results with these Odds

Sportivo Dock Sud - the odds 2.61 are the expected chance of winning is 34.27%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Deportivo Armenio - the odds 2.6 are the expected chance of winning is 34.4%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportivo Dock Sud
Argentinian Primera B
28.09.26	Deportivo Flandria - Sportivo Dock Sud	1:2 ✺
20.09.26	Sportivo Dock Sud - Argentino de Quilmes	0:0 ✺
12.09.26	Defensores Unidos - Sportivo Dock Sud	3:0 ✺
06.09.26	Sportivo Dock Sud - Comunicaciones	0:1 ✺
29.08.26	Ituzaingó - Sportivo Dock Sud	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WTLLW
- Deportivo Armenio
Argentinian Primera B
26.09.26	Deportivo Armenio - Deportivo Merlo	1:0 ✺
19.09.26	Deportivo Camioneros - Deportivo Armenio	1:2 ✺
12.09.26	Deportivo Armenio - Sportivo Italiano	1:0 ✺
05.09.26	San Martín de Burzaco - Deportivo Armenio	0:0 ✺
30.08.26	Deportivo Armenio - Villa San Carlos	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
23.05.26	Deportivo Armenio - Sportivo Dock Sud	1:1
15.11.25	Deportivo Armenio - Sportivo Dock Sud	1:1
21.06.25	Sportivo Dock Sud - Deportivo Armenio	1:0
16.11.24	Deportivo Armenio - Sportivo Dock Sud	1:0
10.11.24	Sportivo Dock Sud - Deportivo Armenio	0:2
28.09.24	Deportivo Armenio - Sportivo Dock Sud	3:2
11.05.24	Sportivo Dock Sud - Deportivo Armenio	1:2

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