The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportivo Armenio 49.6%
Draw 29.7%
Deportivo Merlo 20.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.3%
30.5%
24.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.3%
28.6%
22.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Armenio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
Deportivo Merlo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Armenio than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Merlo than the current prediction. (+2%)
Deportivo Armenio - Deportivo Merlo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Nistal N. (G) 4. Ortiz B. 2. Cardozo I. 6. Echeverria J. 3. Mosca N. 8. Almanza F. 5. Tello F. (C) 10. Barrionuevo D. 11. Palma L. 7. Villalva L. 9. Pellegrino L.
1. Figueroa T. (G) 4. Miguez L. 2. Figueredo L. 6. Busto J. 3. Minnicelli A. 8. Paez A. M. 5. Alfieri L. 11. Aguerre F. (C) 7. Da Rosa J. E. 9. Gugenheim C. 10. Sandoval I.
Substitutes
14. Avalos S. 19. Brandan J. 16. Gerez R. 15. Gomez C. 17. Guenzani J. 20. Herrera Jonathan N. 13. Marchesini F. 12. Mugica J. (G) 18. Suanez T.
14. Barrientos L. 19. Cabrera D. 15. Casasola N. 17. Hernandez R. 20. Linas M. 18. Maguicha D. 12. Ratti V. (G) 13. Sineiro C. 16. Soos J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
6', Busto J. 🟨,
17', Figueredo L. 🟨,
41', 1 - 0, Pellegrino L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
62', Gugenheim C. ↓, Hernandez R. ↑,
62', Busto J. ↓, Casasola N. ↑,
70', Palma L. ↓, Suanez T. ↑,
76', Villalva L. ↓, Gomez C. ↑,
76', Mosca N. ↓, Avalos S. ↑,
77', Paez A. M. ↓, Barrientos L. ↑,
77', Aguerre F. ↓, Maguicha D. ↑,
82', 🟨,
Preview
An upper-table contender faces a competitive test against mid-table opposition (ranked 8th in the Promotion ~ Primera B (Promotion ~ Playoffs and 14th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Armenio won 3.
Deportivo Armenio is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Deportivo Merlo is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Deportivo Armenio carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 18 head-to-head meetings, Deportivo Armenio has recorded 8 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 27:17 (averaging 1.5:0.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Deportivo Armenio against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with 12:8 goals (averaging 1.5:1 per game).