The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportivo Cali 52.5%
Draw 28%
Atlético Nacional 19.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.3%
29.6%
22.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.8%
29.3%
21.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Cali has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
Atlético Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Cali than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Nacional than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
Deportivo Cali - Atlético Nacional Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Sanchez M. (G) 3. Osorio K. 24. Bermeo J. (C) 5. Perlaza S. 2. Salazar A. 6. Medina P. 23. Montoya Z. 29. Morales M. 19. Aponza M. 18. Guerra I. 10. Castellanos D.
22. Castano S. (G) 15. Vidal K. 16. Garcia S. 3. Zambrano A. 4. Isaza E. 6. Ocampo L. 8. Moreno M. 5. Cedeno S. 7. Martinez S. (C) 28. Corena J. 9. Gonzalez M.
Substitutes
30. Cobos L. 4. Fisgativa A. 31. Gonzalez V. (G) 17. Moreno L. 15. Ruiz E. 44. Ruiz N. 26. Sanchez L. 14. Vasquez M.
11. Builes S. 29. Marquinez D. 26. Munera M. (G) 27. Orozco M. 20. Orrego S. 13. Robayo L. 23. Torres Z.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
28', Vidal K. 🟨,
39', 1 - 0, Guerra I. ⚽,
45', 2 - 0, Guerra I. ⚽, Castellanos D. (A),
45+2', Zambrano A. 🟨,
45+2', Bermeo J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
49', 3 - 0, Aponza M. ⚽,
52', Medina P. ↓, Sanchez L. ↑,
54', Gonzalez M. 🟨,
60', Isaza E. ↓, Torres Z. ↑,
60', Corena J. ↓, Marquinez D. ↑,
61', Guerra I. (Penalty Awarded),
66', Moreno M. ↓, Orrego S. ↑,
74', Morales M. ↓, Fisgativa A. ↑,
74', Aponza M. ↓, Vasquez M. ↑,
74', Salazar A. ↓, Moreno L. ↑,
77', Garcia S. ↓, Robayo L. ↑,
79', Montoya Z. ↓, Ruiz N. ↑,
80', 4 - 0, Bermeo J. ⚽,
87', Ocampo L. 🟨,
Preview
First leg result: 2-1.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Cali won 4.
Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.
In this matchup, Deportivo Cali is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Deportivo Cali has recorded 5 wins, 5 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 16:8 (averaging 1.6:0.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Deportivo Cali against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 3 draws, and 0 losses, with 7:4 goals (averaging 1.8:1 per game).
Watch
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Sanchez M. (G) 
Osorio K. 
Zambrano A. 
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