Match Info

Primera A - Clausura - Round 1

Date: 12 July 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Deportivo Cali (Palmira)

Referee: Ortiz J. (Col)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
Mexico	Fanatiz
South-america	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
Usa	Fanatiz


	Deportivo Cali		Junior Barranquilla

	1	X	2
	3.25	3	2.4	Watch
	2.8	2.9	2.5
	3	2.92	2.52	Watch
	2.93	3.03	2.72
				Watch
	2.9	2.9	2.5
	3.1	3.1	2.41	Watch
	2.4	2.95	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.91 ↑ (2.4)	2.97 ↑ (2.95)	2.59 ↓ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Cali
32.2%

Draw
31.6%

Junior Barranquilla
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.6%

31.4%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36%

29.2%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Cali has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportivo Cali's form might have worsened.

Junior Barranquilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Junior Barranquilla's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Cali than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Junior Barranquilla than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Deportivo Cali - Junior Barranquilla Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Deportivo Cali will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Junior will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Deportivo Cali (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
38. Rodriguez A. (G) 27. Viafara F. 16. Corujo G. 5. Varela J. 3. Correa A. 30. Gordillo Y. (C) 6. Bustamante R. 25. Colorado A. 10. Javier Reina 31. Moreno J. 7. Castillo F.	1. Silveira M. (G) 34. Guerrero J. 66. Baez C. 98. Pena J. 3. Herrera E. 8. Chara Y. (C) 80. Angel Bernal F. S. 16. Esparragoza C. 88. Castrillon B. 9. Paiva G. 23. Rodriguez S.
Substitutes
2. Aguilar F. 8. Aponza J. 17. Arango J. 41. Benitez M. 40. Cantillo J. 44. Graciano C. 28. Luis Orejuela 45. Rodallega R. 32. Rojo A. (G)	19. Acuna S. 21. Canchimbo J. 28. Celis G. 30. Martinez J. (G) 77. Mendoza Benitez D. A. 27. Navia J. 5. Rivera D. 17. Salazar J.
Coaches
Gamero A.	Arias A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', Castillo F. 🟥,
22', Bustamante R. ↓, Cantillo J. ↑,
24', Esparragoza C. 🟨,
34', 0 - 1, Paiva G. ⚽,
38', Rodriguez A. 🟨,
44', Pena J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
47', Esparragoza C. ↓, Celis G. ↑,
57', Chara Y. 🟨,
60', Castrillon B. ↓, Salazar J. ↑,
68', 0 - 2, Rodriguez S. ⚽, Chara Y. (A),
69', Cantillo J. ↓, Aponza J. ↑,
69', Javier Reina ↓, Luis Orejuela ↑,
72', Chara Y. ↓, Canchimbo J. ↑,
79', Moreno J. ↓, Arango J. ↑,
80', 🟨,
81', Viafara F. ↓, Graciano C. ↑,
84', Rodriguez S. ↓, Navia J. ↑,
84', Paiva G. ↓, Acuna S. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Cali won 0.

Deportivo Cali is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Junior is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Cali won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 18:29. (average 0.9:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Cali won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Cali
Colombian Copa
14.06.25	Boyacá Chicó - Deportivo Cali	1:0 ✺
09.06.25	Deportivo Cali - Deportes Quindío	0:2 ✺
02.06.25	Atlético Bucaramanga - Deportivo Cali	3:1 ✺
30.05.25	Deportivo Cali - Boca Juniors de Cali	2:1 ✺
Colombian Primera A
25.05.25	Once Caldas - Deportivo Cali	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLWL
- Junior Barranquilla
Colombian Primera A
19.06.25	Deportes Tolima - Junior Barranquilla	2:0 ✺
15.06.25	Junior Barranquilla - América de Cali	0:1 ✺
11.06.25	Independiente Medellín - Junior Barranquilla	1:0 ✺
08.06.25	Junior Barranquilla - Independiente Medellín	0:1 ✺
04.06.25	América de Cali - Junior Barranquilla	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
26.01.25	Junior Barranquilla - Deportivo Cali	0:0
14.11.24	Junior Barranquilla - Deportivo Cali	3:0
28.04.24	Deportivo Cali - Junior Barranquilla	0:0
02.12.23	Deportivo Cali - Junior Barranquilla	0:2
18.11.23	Junior Barranquilla - Deportivo Cali	3:0
06.10.23	Junior Barranquilla - Deportivo Cali	3:2
27.04.23	Deportivo Cali - Junior Barranquilla	3:2

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