Match Info

Division Intermedia - Round 22

Date: 16 August 2025, Saturday


	Deportivo Capiatá		River Plate Asunción

	1	X	2
	1.98	3	3.5
	2	3	3.6
	2.02	3.01	3.6
	2.29	3.22	3.05	Watch
	1.96	3.14	3.7
	1.77	3.36	4.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.77)	3.12 ↓ (3.4)	3.61 ↓ (4.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Capiatá
45.5%

Draw
29.2%

River Plate Asunción
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.2%

26.7%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.6%

28.5%

20.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Capiatá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportivo Capiatá's form might have worsened.

River Plate Asunción has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Capiatá than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Capiatá, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for River Plate Asunción than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Deportivo Capiatá - River Plate Asunción Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
73', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 and 10).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Deportivo Capiatá may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, River Plate has had a series of home games.

In this match, Deportivo Capiatá is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Deportivo Capiatá won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Capiatá
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
08.08.25	Rubio Ñu - Deportivo Capiatá	1:0 ✺
02.08.25	Deportivo Capiatá - Pastoreo	3:0 ✺
26.07.25	Deportivo Santaní - Deportivo Capiatá	1:1 ✺
20.07.25	Deportivo Capiatá - Tacuary	0:0 ✺
11.07.25	Resistencia - Deportivo Capiatá	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWTTT
- River Plate Asunción
Copa Paraguay
12.08.25	River Plate Asunción - Deportivo Santaní	1:0 ✺
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
09.08.25	River Plate Asunción - Guarani de Fram	0:0 ✺
04.08.25	River Plate Asunción - Sportivo San Lorenzo	1:1 ✺
25.07.25	Rubio Ñu - River Plate Asunción	1:1 ✺
21.07.25	River Plate Asunción - Pastoreo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WTTTT

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Division Intermedia
09.05.25	River Plate Asunción - Deportivo Capiatá	1:1

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