Match Info

Date: 6 September 2021, Monday


	Deportivo Capiatá		Sportivo Trinidense

	1	X	2
	1.72	4	3.4
	1.67	4.25	4
	1.71	4.4	3.35
	1.78	4.17	3.65
	1.72	3.4	4.2
	1.75	3.35	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.79)	3.93 ↑ (3.58)	3.87 ↑ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Capiatá
53%

Draw
23.3%

Sportivo Trinidense
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.8%

25.3%

23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.2%

17%

35.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Capiatá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Sportivo Trinidense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Capiatá than the current prediction. (-18.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Capiatá that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Trinidense than the current prediction. (+11.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sportivo Trinidense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Deportivo Capiatá - Sportivo Trinidense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 and 9).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Deportivo Capiatá could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Deportivo Capiatá will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Deportivo Capiatá won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Deportivo Capiatá won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Capiatá
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
29.08.21	Deportivo Santaní - Deportivo Capiatá	1:1 ✺
26.08.21	Deportivo Capiatá - Atyrá	2:2 ✺
22.08.21	Guaraní de Trinidad - Deportivo Capiatá	4:0 ✺
16.08.21	Deportivo Capiatá - Tacuary	1:1 ✺
02.08.21	Deportivo Capiatá - Sportivo Ameliano	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TTLTT
- Sportivo Trinidense
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
01.09.21	Sportivo Trinidense - Tacuary	2:2 ✺
29.08.21	Atyrá - Sportivo Trinidense	0:0 ✺
20.08.21	Sportivo Ameliano - Sportivo Trinidense	0:3 ✺
14.08.21	Sportivo Trinidense - 3 de Febrero	2:4 ✺
07.08.21	Fulgencio Yegros - Sportivo Trinidense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Division Intermedia
29.05.21	Sportivo Trinidense - Deportivo Capiatá	2:1
Paraguayan Primera Division
10.11.17	Sportivo Trinidense - Deportivo Capiatá	0:0
02.09.17	Deportivo Capiatá - Sportivo Trinidense	0:0
09.06.17	Deportivo Capiatá - Sportivo Trinidense	0:3
29.03.17	Sportivo Trinidense - Deportivo Capiatá	0:1

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