Match Info

PARAGUAY: Primera Division - Clausura - Round 11

Date: 16 September 2024, Monday

Location: Estadio Martín Torres (Asunción)

Where to Watch on TV:


Paraguay	Tigo Sports
World	DirecTV Sports


	Sportivo Trinidense		Tacuary

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.1	3.1	Watch
	2.2	3.1	2.95
	2.25	3.2	3.1	Watch
	2.27	3.35	3.21
	2.28	3.22	3.17	Watch
	2	3.3	3.3
	2.24	3.27	3.15	Watch
	2.25	3.2	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (2.14)	3.22 ↓ (3.24)	3.14 ↓ (3.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sportivo Trinidense
41.8%

Draw
28.7%

Tacuary
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.8%

28.9%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

28.6%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sportivo Trinidense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Tacuary has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Trinidense than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tacuary than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Sportivo Trinidense - Tacuary Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Samudio V. (G) 23. Benitez C. (C) 5. Vera J. 3. Villalba D. 20. Alonso W. 35. Diaz E. 13. Salcedo J. 8. De la Cruz L. 11. Maciel M. 16. Arevalo R. 24. Romero J.	12. Bareiro A. (G) 34. Arguello M. 3. Jean Mangabeira 33. Caceres L. 14. Pedrozo R. 10. Colman O. 6. Paredes M. (C) 4. Victor Ferraz 11. Brizuela F. 7. Camacho N. 17. Morinigo N.
Substitutes
30. Andrada B. 7. Baez Mendoza R. 33. Charpentier P. 15. Davalos Valdez V. 4. Flores G. 9. Gimenez O. 27. Machuca M. 32. Martinez C. 6. Orzusa E. 22. Quinonez R. 1. Quinonez W. (G) 28. Riveros M.	28. Berrio O. 35. Corrales S. 26. Fernandez D. 15. Juan Gauto 27. Medina G. 36. Nunez M. 20. Riveros L. 21. Romero L. 24. Samudio M. 1. Vagner (G) 19. Valdeci 9. Verdun J.
Coaches
Arrua J.	Palau M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
19', 0 - 1, Colman O. ⚽, Paredes M. (A),
23', 1 - 1, Arevalo R. ⚽, Maciel M. (A),
32', Camacho N. 🟨,
37', 1 - 2, Camacho N. ⚽,
40', Colman O. 🟨,
43', 2 - 2, Maciel M. ⚽,
45+2', Romero J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Diaz E. ↓, Gimenez O. ↑,
53', 2 - 3, Camacho N. ⚽, Brizuela F. (A),
57', Caceres L. ↓, Romero L. ↑,
65', Romero J. ↓, Andrada B. ↑,
65', Alonso W. ↓, Riveros M. ↑,
68', Camacho N. ↓, Fernandez D. ↑,
72', Arevalo R. ↓, Charpentier P. ↑,
73', Salcedo J. ↓, Orzusa E. ↑,
81', Paredes M. ↓, Juan Gauto ↑,
81', Pedrozo R. ↓, Samudio M. ↑,
81', Morinigo N. ↓, Berrio O. ↑,
82', Bareiro A. 🟨,
88', Riveros M. 🟨,
90', Palau M. 🟨,
90+4', Berrio O. 🟥,
90+6', Samudio M. 🟨,
90+7', Samudio V. 🟨,
90+9', Villalba D. 🟨,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 8 and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sportivo Trinidense won 1.

Recent matches Sportivo Trinidense is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Tacuary is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sportivo Trinidense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Sportivo Trinidense will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Sportivo Trinidense won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Sportivo Trinidense won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportivo Trinidense
Paraguayan Primera Division
11.09.24	Cerro Porteño - Sportivo Trinidense	1:1 ✺
02.09.24	Sportivo Trinidense - Sol de América	1:0 ✺
27.08.24	General Caballero JLM - Sportivo Trinidense	2:1 ✺
23.08.24	Sportivo Trinidense - Sportivo Luqueño	3:2 ✺
16.08.24	2 de Mayo - Sportivo Trinidense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 TWLWL
- Tacuary
Paraguayan Primera Division
13.09.24	Tacuary - Guaraní Asuncion	1:2 ✺
01.09.24	Nacional Asuncion - Tacuary	1:0 ✺
29.08.24	Tacuary - Olimpia Asuncion	0:1 ✺
24.08.24	Tacuary - Cerro Porteño	0:1 ✺
17.08.24	Sol de América - Tacuary	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
04.05.24	Tacuary - Sportivo Trinidense	0:0
09.02.24	Sportivo Trinidense - Tacuary	1:3
05.11.23	Tacuary - Sportivo Trinidense	1:0
Copa Paraguay
19.09.23	Tacuary - Sportivo Trinidense	1:2
Paraguayan Primera Division
26.08.23	Sportivo Trinidense - Tacuary	1:1
12.04.23	Tacuary - Sportivo Trinidense	0:1
28.01.23	Sportivo Trinidense - Tacuary	2:0

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