Match Info

GUATEMALA: LIGA NACIONAL - CLAUSURA - ROUND 10

Date: 10 March 2024, Sunday


	Deportivo Coatepeque		Xelajú

	1	X	2
	2.85	2.9	2.3
	2.95	3	2.35	Watch
	3.16	2.82	2.59
	3.16	2.67	2.59
	3.02	2.96	2.35	Watch
	3.05	2.9	2.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.03 ↑ (2.94)	2.88 ↓ (3.3)	2.43 ↑ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Coatepeque
30.3%

Draw
31.9%

Xelajú
37.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.8%

27.4%

41.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.9%

26.6%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Coatepeque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Xelajú has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Coatepeque than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Xelajú than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Xelajú could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
. Guzman A. (G) . Alvarado C. . Antunez F. . Avalos V. . Barrios F. . Betancourt S. . Lang D. . Mira E. . Ochaeta D. . Vasquez T. . Zamorano A.	. Calderon J. (C) . Cardona J. . Cardoza E. . Castaneda J. . Gonzalez J. . Longo J. . Lopez F. . Moran J. . Racancoj J. . Renteria W. . Santos Vargas C. Y.
Substitutes
. Alvarado J. . Argueta J. . Cruz V. (G) . Diaz W. . Guerra J. . Luna R. . Palma J. . Perez L. . Rosas Cabrera P. A.	. Hernandez Y. . Lobos N. (G) . Matos Y. . Navarro A. . Quezada Gamez H. E. . Rodas A. . Roseti M. . Tinoco G. . Vargas J.

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Coatepeque won 1.

Coatepeque has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Xelajú is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Coatepeque could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Xelajú will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Coatepeque won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 11-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Coatepeque won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Coatepeque
Guatemala Liga Nacional
02.03.24	Comunicaciones - Deportivo Coatepeque	2:0 ✺
28.02.24	Deportivo Coatepeque - Malacateco	1:2 ✺
25.02.24	Deportivo Coatepeque - Deportivo Xinabajul	1:1 ✺
17.02.24	Cobán Imperial - Deportivo Coatepeque	3:1 ✺
11.02.24	Xelajú - Deportivo Coatepeque	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLTLL
- Club Xelajú
Guatemala Liga Nacional
02.03.24	Xelajú - Cobán Imperial	0:0 ✺
28.02.24	Deportivo Xinabajul - Xelajú	0:0 ✺
24.02.24	Comunicaciones - Xelajú	0:0 ✺
17.02.24	Xelajú - Malacateco	2:1 ✺
11.02.24	Xelajú - Deportivo Coatepeque	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 TTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Guatemala Liga Nacional
11.02.24	Xelajú - Deportivo Coatepeque	2:1
01.10.23	Deportivo Coatepeque - Xelajú	0:0
25.08.23	Xelajú - Deportivo Coatepeque	1:1
15.04.15	Deportivo Coatepeque - Xelajú	1:0
14.02.15	Xelajú - Deportivo Coatepeque	2:0
25.10.14	Xelajú - Deportivo Coatepeque	1:2
03.08.14	Deportivo Coatepeque - Xelajú	2:3

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