Match Info

Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 18

Date: 5 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Mario Camposeco (Quetzaltenango)

Where to Watch on TV:


Guatemala	Tigo Sports
South-america	ViX Latin America


	Xelajú		Malacateco

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.5	5.15
	1.5	3.62	7.36
	1.63	3.53	5.82	Watch
	1.5	3.5	6
	1.57	3.98	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↑ (1.54)	3.63 ↑ (3.59)	5.97 ↑ (5.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Xelajú
59.2%

Draw
25.4%

Malacateco
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.1%

25.3%

15.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3%

24.4%

15%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Xelajú has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Malacateco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Xelajú than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Malacateco than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Xelajú - Malacateco Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Xelajú will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Malacateco will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Silva D. (G) 52. Aparicio J. 23. Calderon R. 11. Cardenas S. 28. de Oliveira C. 7. Diaz Y. 14. Gonzalez J. 70. Jaen Y. 10. Lopez A. 24. Marquez R. 30. Romero M.	25. Jimenez M. (G) 17. Meneses R. 6. Morales A. 10. Ochoa J. 32. Perez Ochoa C. A. 8. Ramirez K. 23. Roskopf M. 5. Soto A. 16. Torres Chavez V. G. 9. Trigueno J. 20. Vasquez G.
Substitutes
26. Cardoza E. 6. de Leon M. 29. Escobar J. 22. Lobos N. (G) 17. Ochaeta D. 20. Quezada Gamez H. E. 90. Quinonez O. 12. Quiros D. 13. Tebalan W.	11. Andrade N. 13. Angulo Grueso B. A. 93. Chun M. 14. Guzman Miron D. J. 21. Lopez A. 15. Morales G. 27. Paz V. 24. Quinteros F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+3', 1 - 0, Jaen Y. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Roskopf M. ↓, Lopez A. ↑,
68', Vasquez G. ↓, Angulo Grueso B. A. ↑,
68', Ochoa J. ↓, Andrade N. ↑,
68', Soto A. ↓, Quinteros F. ↑,
68', de Oliveira C. ↓, Tebalan W. ↑,
75', Cardenas S. ↓, Quezada Gamez H. E. ↑,
75', Diaz Y. ↓, Quiros D. ↑,
78', Trigueno J. ↓, Paz V. ↑,
79', Calderon R. 🟨,
80', Jaen Y. 🟨,
86', Jaen Y. ↓, Cardoza E. ↑,
86', Marquez R. ↓, Quinonez O. ↑,
90', 🟨,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Play Offs: ) and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Xelajú won 3.

Recent performances by Xelajú have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Malacateco is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Xelajú may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Xelajú is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Xelajú won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 16:18. (average 0.8:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Xelajú won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 13:5. (average 1.4:0.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Xelaju	12	5	3	4	24:14	10	18
11	Malacateco	12	3	3	6	12:19	-7	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Xelajú
Guatemala Liga Nacional
01.04.26	Marquense - Xelajú	1:0 ✺
28.03.26	Xelajú - Deportivo Guastatoya	1:1 ✺
22.03.26	Comunicaciones - Xelajú	1:3 ✺
19.03.26	Xelajú - Municipal	3:1 ✺
14.03.26	Xelajú - Antigua GFC	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LTWWT
- Deportivo Malacateco
Guatemala Liga Nacional
02.04.26	Malacateco - Deportivo Guastatoya	1:0 ✺
28.03.26	Municipal - Malacateco	1:0 ✺
22.03.26	Malacateco - Aurora	1:1 ✺
18.03.26	Mictlán - Malacateco	1:0 ✺
14.03.26	Malacateco - Deportivo Mixco	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Guatemala Liga Nacional
18.02.26	Malacateco - Xelajú	1:0
28.09.25	Xelajú - Malacateco	3:0
19.07.25	Malacateco - Xelajú	0:1
15.03.25	Xelajú - Malacateco	2:1
29.01.25	Malacateco - Xelajú	2:1
01.11.24	Malacateco - Xelajú	1:0
17.08.24	Xelajú - Malacateco	0:0

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