Match Info

Primera C - Round 12

Date: 18 May 2026, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Deportivo Español		Mercedes

	1	X	2
	2.1	2.78	3.6
	2.17	2.8	3.58
	2.23	2.65	3.73	Watch
	2.15	2.63	3.6
	2.17	2.69	3.72
	1.98	2.95	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (1.98)	2.75 ↓ (2.95)	3.66 ↓ (3.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Español
42.4%

Draw
32.9%

Mercedes
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.5%

30.5%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9%

30.8%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Español has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Mercedes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Español than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mercedes than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Deportivo Español - Mercedes Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Mercedes (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Mercedes (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
35', 1 - 0, Ronconi G. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 12 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Español won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Deportivo Español may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Deportivo Español could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Español won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:6. (average 1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Español won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Deportivo Español - the odds 1.98 are the expected chance of winning is 45.47%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Español
Argentinian Primera C
11.05.26	Fénix - Deportivo Español	1:0 ✺
04.05.26	Deportivo Español - Sportivo Barracas	0:0 ✺
26.04.26	Club Luján - Deportivo Español	1:1 ✺
18.04.26	Sacachispas - Deportivo Español	4:3 ✺
10.04.26	Deportivo Español - General Lamadrid	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LTTLW
- Club Mercedes
Argentinian Primera C
08.05.26	Defensores de Cambaceres - Mercedes	2:1 ✺
03.05.26	Mercedes - Juventud Unida de San Miguel	1:1 ✺
26.04.26	Sacachispas - Mercedes	0:0 ✺
18.04.26	Mercedes - Atlético Claypole	0:0 ✺
11.04.26	Mercedes - Argentino de Rosario	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera C
22.11.25	Deportivo Español - Mercedes	2:1
14.11.25	Mercedes - Deportivo Español	0:0
27.07.25	Mercedes - Deportivo Español	3:0
13.04.25	Deportivo Español - Mercedes	1:0
07.07.24	Deportivo Español - Mercedes	1:0
03.02.24	Mercedes - Deportivo Español	2:2

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