Match Info

GUATEMALA: LIGA NACIONAL - CLAUSURA - ROUND 8

Date: 22 February 2023, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Deportivo Guastatoya		Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa

	1	X	2
	1.36	4	7.75
	1.3	4.4	8
	1.35	4.5	9.31
	1.36	3.75	9
	1.38	4.15	8.3	Watch
	1.38	4.1	8.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.44)	4.15 ↑ (3.99)	8.43 ↑ (6.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Guastatoya
67.2%

Draw
22%

Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa
10.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

63.7%

23%

13.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.3%

20.1%

11.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Guastatoya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Guastatoya than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	30%	20%

Deportivo Guastatoya - Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Guastatoya will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Santa Lucía will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Guastatoya: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Guastatoya won 2.

Guastatoya is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Santa Lucía is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Santa Lucía could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Guastatoya is absolute favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Guastatoya won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Guastatoya won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Guastatoya
Guatemala Liga Nacional
19.02.23	Deportivo Guastatoya - Deportivo Achuapa	3:0 ✺
15.02.23	Comunicaciones - Deportivo Guastatoya	2:0 ✺
11.02.23	Deportivo Guastatoya - Antigua GFC	3:1 ✺
05.02.23	Cobán Imperial - Deportivo Guastatoya	0:0 ✺
01.02.23	Deportivo Guastatoya - Malacateco	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WLWTW
- Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa
Guatemala Liga Nacional
18.02.23	Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa - Comunicaciones	0:0 ✺
15.02.23	Antigua GFC - Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa	1:1 ✺
11.02.23	Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa - Cobán Imperial	2:0 ✺
04.02.23	Malacateco - Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa	3:0 ✺
01.02.23	Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa - Deportivo Xinabajul	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Guatemala Liga Nacional
30.10.22	Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa - Deportivo Guastatoya	1:0
21.08.22	Deportivo Guastatoya - Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa	1:1
03.04.22	Deportivo Guastatoya - Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa	2:0
02.02.22	Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa - Deportivo Guastatoya	1:3
05.12.21	Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa - Deportivo Guastatoya	1:1
10.11.21	Deportivo Guastatoya - Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa	2:2
16.05.21	Deportivo Guastatoya - Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa	1:2

Deportivo Guastatoya - Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa