Match Info

Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 18

Date: 6 April 2026, Monday

Location: Estadio David Cordón Hichos (Guastatoya)


	Deportivo Guastatoya		Deportivo Achuapa

	1	X	2
	1.45	3.95	5.9
	1.47	3.92	7.05
	1.46	4.25	6.8	Watch
	1.44	3.6	6.5
	1.43	3.74	7.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 (1.45)	3.89 ↑ (3.84)	6.74 ↑ (6.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Guastatoya
63%

Draw
23.5%

Deportivo Achuapa
13.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.7%

23.7%

13.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.1%

22.5%

13%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Guastatoya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Deportivo Achuapa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Guastatoya than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Achuapa than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Deportivo Guastatoya - Deportivo Achuapa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Escobar R. (G) 88. Alvarado C. 11. Arboine K. 23. Armas V. 22. Avalos V. 30. Fernandez K. 27. Garcia N. 17. Lon A. 10. Sequen M. (C) 5. Ubico J. 44. Yori E.	12. Cabezas Quinonez E. A. (G) 19. Aquino D. 88. Carabali Y. (C) 6. Corado Ruano R. E. 8. de Leon I. 10. Macal E. 23. Martir A. 17. Mejia C. 66. Santos C. 21. Suazo D. 9. Williams J.
Substitutes
8. Aguilar Y. 99. Cifuentes J. (G) 26. Cruz G. O. 6. Estrada J. 28. Garrido S. 20. Gutierrez A. 14. Marroquin R. 15. Morales H. 12. Ramirez K. G. A.	24. Bol E. 11. Castillo K. 13. Castrillo C. 30. Corado J. 4. Gaitan M. 91. Matta A. 27. Ruiz L. (G) 20. Sanchez E. 25. Tiul K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Garcia N. ⚽,
36', Ubico J. 🟨,
38', 2 - 0, Arboine K. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Ubico J. ↓, Aguilar Y. ↑,
51', Suazo D. 🟨,
53', Lon A. 🟨,
58', Aquino D. ↓, Bol E. ↑,
58', Macal E. ↓, Matta A. ↑,
58', Mejia C. ↓, Sanchez E. ↑,
64', Sequen M. ↓, Estrada J. ↑,
73', 3 - 0, Garcia N. ⚽,
74', Garcia N. 🟨,
75', Martir A. ↓, Castillo K. ↑,
75', Arboine K. ↓, Cruz G. O. ↑,
75', Garcia N. ↓, Morales H. ↑,
80', Fernandez K. ↓, Ramirez K. G. A. ↑,
82', 3 - 1, Matta A. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guastatoya won 2.

Recent performances by Guastatoya have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Achuapa has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Guastatoya is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Guastatoya won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 25:17. (average 1.3:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Guastatoya won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:6. (average 1.6:0.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Guastatoya	12	8	1	3	19:13	6	25

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Guastatoya
Guatemala Liga Nacional
02.04.26	Malacateco - Deportivo Guastatoya	1:0 ✺
28.03.26	Xelajú - Deportivo Guastatoya	1:1 ✺
22.03.26	Deportivo Guastatoya - Municipal	1:1 ✺
19.03.26	Aurora - Deportivo Guastatoya	0:1 ✺
14.03.26	Deportivo Guastatoya - Mictlán	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 LTTWW
- Deportivo Achuapa
Guatemala Liga Nacional
02.04.26	Deportivo Achuapa - Municipal	1:2 ✺
29.03.26	Aurora - Deportivo Achuapa	1:0 ✺
21.03.26	Deportivo Achuapa - Mictlán	0:2 ✺
18.03.26	Deportivo Mixco - Deportivo Achuapa	1:0 ✺
15.03.26	Deportivo Achuapa - Marquense	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Guatemala Liga Nacional
17.02.26	Deportivo Achuapa - Deportivo Guastatoya	1:0
30.11.25	Deportivo Achuapa - Deportivo Guastatoya	1:1
21.09.25	Deportivo Guastatoya - Deportivo Achuapa	0:0
09.04.25	Deportivo Achuapa - Deportivo Guastatoya	1:2
05.02.25	Deportivo Guastatoya - Deportivo Achuapa	1:0
29.09.24	Deportivo Guastatoya - Deportivo Achuapa	1:1
03.03.24	Deportivo Guastatoya - Deportivo Achuapa	1:1

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