Match Info

Copa Colombia - First stage - Round 4

Date: 11 June 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Hernán Ramírez Villegas (Pereira)


	Deportivo Pereira		Deportivo La Equidad

	1	X	2
	1.25	5.75	11	Watch
	1.17	5.75	14
	1.22	5.15	9.8	Watch
	1.59	3.57	5.88	Watch
	1.22	5	11
	1.23	5.8	10.3	Watch
	1.22	5.15	9.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.5)	5.17 ↑ (3.75)	10.25 ↑ (6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Pereira
73%

Draw
18%

Deportivo La Equidad
9.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.6%

24.2%

15.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.1%

23.2%

14.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Pereira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo Pereira's performance.

Deportivo La Equidad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo La Equidad might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Pereira than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Pereira that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo La Equidad than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo La Equidad could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Deportivo Pereira - Deportivo La Equidad Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Pereira (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Pereira (2.20) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH +1, 1st Half - La Equidad (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.25, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - La Equidad (2.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Deportivo Pereira will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Pereira (votes: 5 - 71.4%). La Equidad (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Castillo R. ⚽,
43', 2 - 0, Moya J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pereira won 4.

Recent performances by Pereira have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

La Equidad is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Pereira is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Pereira won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:13. (average 1.7:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Pereira won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:6. (average 2:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Pereira
Colombian Copa
07.06.25	Leones - Deportivo Pereira	2:2 ✺
02.06.25	Deportivo Pereira - Fortaleza CEIF	0:0 ✺
Colombian Primera A
23.05.25	Deportivo Pereira - Deportivo La Equidad	3:0 ✺
19.05.25	Independiente Medellín - Deportivo Pereira	2:0 ✺
13.05.25	Deportivo Pereira - Deportivo Pasto	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 TTWLW
- Deportivo La Equidad
Colombian Copa
07.06.25	Deportivo La Equidad - Bogotá	1:2 ✺
28.05.25	Leones - Deportivo La Equidad	1:2 ✺
Colombian Primera A
23.05.25	Deportivo Pereira - Deportivo La Equidad	3:0 ✺
17.05.25	Deportivo La Equidad - Atlético Bucaramanga	1:4 ✺
10.05.25	Fortaleza CEIF - Deportivo La Equidad	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
23.05.25	Deportivo Pereira - Deportivo La Equidad	3:0
14.11.24	Deportivo Pereira - Deportivo La Equidad	4:3
28.04.24	Deportivo La Equidad - Deportivo Pereira	0:2
14.10.23	Deportivo Pereira - Deportivo La Equidad	1:0
30.04.23	Deportivo La Equidad - Deportivo Pereira	2:0
28.08.22	Deportivo La Equidad - Deportivo Pereira	1:1
26.02.22	Deportivo Pereira - Deportivo La Equidad	2:3

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