Match Info

Primera A - Apertura - Round 17

Date: 2 May 2025, Friday

Location: Estadio Metropolitano de Techo (Bogotá)

Referee: Ulloa D. (Col)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
South-america	ViX Latin America


	Deportivo La Equidad		Alianza Valledupar

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.1	4.33	Watch
	2.1	2.95	3.5
	2.03	3.05	4.2	Watch
	2	3.04	4.42
	2	3.03	4.28	Watch
	2.15	2.9	3.7
	2.01	3.04	4.28	Watch
	2.03	3.05	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (2)	3.02 ↓ (3.25)	4.11 ↑ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo La Equidad
46.1%

Draw
31.1%

Alianza Valledupar
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.1%

28.3%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7%

27.4%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Deportivo La Equidad have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Alianza Valledupar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo La Equidad than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Valledupar than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Deportivo La Equidad - Alianza Valledupar Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. La Equidad will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Alianza will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Perez A. (G) 20. Angel Amaya Pena M. 36. Torralvo A. 4. Tegue G. 30. Agron B. 13. Abonia Y. 6. Orozco S. 14. Acosta F. (C) 16. Mayo S. 11. Castro Espinosa B. D. 10. Cruz W.	1. Wallens J. (G) 18. Garcia J. 5. Franco P. (C) 60. Rosales Y. 22. Suarez K. 19. Perez L. 7. Castillo J. 21. Manjarres R. 11. Aponza Cantonil S. A. 99. Gil M. 15. Vergara C.
Substitutes
15. Castro D. 3. Correa A. 7. Del Valle A. 25. Lopez S. 24. Montano B. 18. Paternina C. 1. Varela C. (G)	12. Chaverra J. (G) 33. Fernandez W. 6. Figueroa J. 23. Mendoza Benitez D. A. 10. Munoz J. 24. Munoz J. 17. Pardo F.
Coaches
Bodmer J.	Bodhert H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', Castillo J. 🟨,
37', 0 - 1, Vergara C. ⚽,
40', Cruz W. 🟨,
43', Manjarres R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Torralvo A. ↓, Correa A. ↑,
54', Mayo S. 🟨,
58', Castillo J. ↓, Figueroa J. ↑,
58', Manjarres R. ↓, Mendoza Benitez D. A. ↑,
59', Aponza Cantonil S. A. 🟨,
64', Cruz W. ↓, Del Valle A. ↑,
64', Acosta F. ↓, Lopez S. ↑,
66', Aponza Cantonil S. A. ↓, Munoz J. ↑,
70', 0 - 2, Munoz J. ⚽, Perez L. (A),
80', Gil M. ↓, Fernandez W. ↑,
81', Vergara C. ↓, Pardo F. ↑,
84', Mayo S. ↓, Paternina C. ↑,
87', Abonia Y. 🟨,
90+4', Fernandez W. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, La Equidad won 3.

La Equidad has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Alianza is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, La Equidad is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, La Equidad won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 21:20. (average 1.1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, La Equidad won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 1.3:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo La Equidad
Colombian Primera A
26.04.25	Deportes Tolima - Deportivo La Equidad	2:1 ✺
19.04.25	Deportivo La Equidad - América de Cali	2:0 ✺
16.04.25	Once Caldas - Deportivo La Equidad	3:0 ✺
10.04.25	Deportivo La Equidad - Independiente Santa Fe	2:1 ✺
05.04.25	Deportivo Cali - Deportivo La Equidad	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LWLWL
- Alianza Valledupar
Colombian Primera A
26.04.25	Alianza Valledupar - Rionegro Águilas	0:0 ✺
19.04.25	Junior Barranquilla - Alianza Valledupar	2:0 ✺
15.04.25	Alianza Valledupar - Deportivo Pasto	1:0 ✺
11.04.25	Llaneros SA - Alianza Valledupar	0:1 ✺
04.04.25	Alianza Valledupar - Envigado	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
02.11.24	Deportivo La Equidad - Alianza Valledupar	3:2
14.04.24	Alianza Valledupar - Deportivo La Equidad	0:3
23.08.23	Alianza Valledupar - Deportivo La Equidad	1:0
04.03.23	Deportivo La Equidad - Alianza Valledupar	1:1
16.09.22	Alianza Valledupar - Deportivo La Equidad	1:2
23.03.22	Deportivo La Equidad - Alianza Valledupar	2:1
19.07.21	Alianza Valledupar - Deportivo La Equidad	1:0

Deportivo La Equidad - Alianza Valledupar: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide