The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportivo La Equidad 40.6%
Draw 34.8%
Deportivo Pasto 24.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.4%
33.5%
29.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.6%
30.1%
32.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo La Equidad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
Deportivo Pasto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo La Equidad than the current prediction. (-7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo La Equidad that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Pasto than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Pasto could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Deportivo La Equidad - Deportivo Pasto Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Beltran E. (G) 13. Abonia Y. 2. Vivas C. 4. Rodas M. 26. Gomez Mosquera Y. A. 5. Masllorens J. 10. Mayo S. 14. Colorado J. 23. Castilla J. 7. Micolta Piedahita J. 30. Parra Atehortua K.
12. Cabezas V. (G) 5. Gil N. 38. Villa F. 23. Rios J. 4. Caicedo L. 77. Bone F. 6. Caicedo J. (C) 11. Mendez J. 22. Camacho D. 70. Espinal F. 19. Valois Y.
Substitutes
18. Bolivar J. 17. Chaverra F. 6. Copete D. 32. Gomez Palacio Y. A. (G) 31. Julio R. 8. Monaco M. 16. Montano B. 34. Santamaria M. 9. Valencia J.
99. Castillo D. 17. Jaramillo F. 1. Martinez D. (G) 18. Ordonez F. 28. Preciado P. 21. Rivas J. 8. Valencia J.
Coaches
Merino D.
Ayala C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
44', Colorado J. 🟥,
44', Parra Atehortua K. 🟨,
45+1', Bone F. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Abonia Y. 🟨,
60', Villa F. 🟨,
66', Espinal F. ↓, Castillo D. ↑,
67', Valois Y. 🟨,
71', Micolta Piedahita J. 🟥,
77', Parra Atehortua K. ↓, Bolivar J. ↑,
77', Mayo S. ↓, Monaco M. ↑,
81', Mendez J. ↓, Ordonez F. ↑,
81', Camacho D. ↓, Rivas J. ↑,
81', Villa F. ↓, Jaramillo F. ↑,
82', Masllorens J. ↓, Copete D. ↑,
84', Rios J. 🟨,
86', Rodas M. 🟨,
90+1', Castilla J. ↓, Chaverra F. ↑,
90+2', Rios J. 🟨,
90+4', Gil N. 🟨,
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 12 and 18).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, La Equidad won 2.
In recent matches, La Equidad has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Deportivo Pasto has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
La Equidad may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
La Equidad might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, La Equidad won 7 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 27:24. (average 1.4:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, La Equidad won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:12. (average 1.4:1.2).
Colombia
Mexico
South-america
Usa
Watch
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Beltran E. (G) 
Vivas C. 
Masllorens J. 
Caicedo L. 
Bone F. 
Monaco M. 
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