Match Info

Primera A - Clausura - Round 10

Date: 7 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Cota (Cota)

Referee: Gracia Benitez L. D. (Col)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
South-america	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
Usa	Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2


	Fortaleza CEIF		Deportivo La Equidad

	1	X	2
	2	2.88	4.75	Watch
	1.98	2.85	4.1
	2.02	2.92	4.25	Watch
	2.06	3	4.7
	1.99	2.77	4.85	Watch
	1.8	3.1	5
	1.94	2.85	4.9	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.8)	2.91 ↓ (3.3)	4.65 ↓ (4.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fortaleza CEIF
47.6%

Draw
32.2%

Deportivo La Equidad
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.3%

28.4%

19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5%

27.8%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fortaleza CEIF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Deportivo La Equidad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortaleza CEIF than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fortaleza CEIF, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo La Equidad than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	50%	16.7%

Fortaleza CEIF - Deportivo La Equidad Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Fortaleza will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). La Equidad will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Santander C. (G) 4. Marulanda J. 6. Diaz Y. 18. Balanta J. 20. Valencia S. 15. Cuero S. 14. Pico L. 17. Balanta Carabali K. A. 33. Arroyo A. 8. Ricaurte A. 29. Cordoba S.	1. Beltran E. (G) 26. Gomez Mosquera Y. A. 4. Rodas M. (C) 16. Montano B. 13. Abonia Y. 5. Masllorens J. 10. Mayo S. 14. Colorado J. 23. Castilla J. 18. Bolivar J. 30. Parra Atehortua K.
Substitutes
11. Amaya A. 32. Barragan M. (G) 25. Barrera J. 23. Escorcia L. 16. Florez K. 35. Martinez J. 27. Mosquera C. 21. Ramiirez S. 10. Velasquez J.	20. Angel Amaya Pena M. 99. Banguero E. 17. Chaverra F. 6. Copete D. 32. Gomez Palacio Y. A. (G) 31. Julio R. 8. Monaco M. 22. Pena Zabaleta D. 29. Santamaria M.
Coaches
Oliveros S.	Merino D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
43', Mayo S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', Colorado J. 🟨,
60', Diaz Y. 🟨,
61', Colorado J. ↓, Copete D. ↑,
65', Castilla J. 🟨,
66', 1 - 0, Cordoba S. (Pen),
69', Balanta Carabali K. A. 🟨,
73', Castilla J. ↓, Monaco M. ↑,
73', Masllorens J. ↓, Chaverra F. ↑,
73', Balanta Carabali K. A. ↓, Ramiirez S. ↑,
73', Cuero S. ↓, Amaya A. ↑,
85', Cordoba S. ↓, Florez K. ↑,
87', Copete D. 🟨,
89', Rodas M. 🟨,
90', Arroyo A. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
90', Ricaurte A. ↓, Velasquez J. ↑,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 13).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

La Equidad may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Fortaleza is seen as the favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:2. (average 1.8:0.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Fortaleza won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 3:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fortaleza CEIF
Colombian Copa
03.09.25	Independiente Medellín - Fortaleza CEIF	2:1 ✺
Colombian Primera A
31.08.25	Deportes Tolima - Fortaleza CEIF	1:1 ✺
Colombian Copa
27.08.25	Fortaleza CEIF - Independiente Medellín	0:0 ✺
Colombian Primera A
23.08.25	Fortaleza CEIF - Independiente Santa Fe	2:0 ✺
16.08.25	Atlético Nacional - Fortaleza CEIF	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 LTTWT
- Deportivo La Equidad
Colombian Primera A
31.08.25	Deportivo La Equidad - Deportivo Pasto	0:0 ✺
23.08.25	Independiente Medellín - Deportivo La Equidad	3:1 ✺
16.08.25	Deportivo La Equidad - Llaneros SA	2:1 ✺
11.08.25	Boyacá Chicó - Deportivo La Equidad	0:0 ✺
01.08.25	Deportivo La Equidad - Unión Magdalena	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Copa
15.06.25	Deportivo La Equidad - Fortaleza CEIF	0:2
Colombian Primera A
10.05.25	Fortaleza CEIF - Deportivo La Equidad	4:0
22.03.25	Deportivo La Equidad - Fortaleza CEIF	1:1
05.11.24	Fortaleza CEIF - Deportivo La Equidad	2:1
18.04.24	Deportivo La Equidad - Fortaleza CEIF	0:0

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