The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportivo La Guaira 66.6%
Draw 20.6%
Academia Anzoátegui 12.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
56.9%
25.7%
17.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
60.3%
24.3%
16.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo La Guaira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo La Guaira's performance.
Academia Anzoátegui has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo La Guaira than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo La Guaira that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Academia Anzoátegui than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
Deportivo La Guaira - Academia Anzoátegui Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Varela C. (G) 33. Hernandez N. 24. Ortiz G. 2. Rojas C. 39. Orihuela M. 10. Castellanos J. 13. Ibarra R. (C) 8. Perdomo J. 7. Meza J. 36. Londono F. 30. Zeballos S.
1. Hernandez W. (G) 18. Lovera J. 3. Lujano C. 22. Guevara D. 52. Villarroel L. 7. Marin G. 92. Fioravanti L. 8. Ruiz E. 77. Barrios C. 70. Rojas P. 9. Ortiz C. (C)
Substitutes
27. Correa J. 15. Gonzalez M. 23. Herrera J. 43. Martinez J. 16. Martinez L. 49. Pena M. 12. Sanchez J. (G) 22. Sulbaran M. 9. Uribe A. 67. Vargas G. 46. Vegas S. 28. Villero M.
13. Aguero J. (G) 24. Cermeno C. 15. Diciolla G. 55. Moreno A. 11. Navas E. 45. Perez P. 99. Sinza F. 19. Tegues D.
Coaches
Bidoglio H.
Maldonado G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
19', Guevara D. 🟨,
24', 1 - 0, Meza J. ⚽,
29', Ibarra R. 🟨,
31', Hernandez N. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Zeballos S. ↓, Herrera J. ↑,
46', Hernandez N. ↓, Martinez L. ↑,
62', Perdomo J. ↓, Gonzalez M. ↑,
62', Ibarra R. ↓, Correa J. ↑,
66', Ruiz E. ↓, Tegues D. ↑,
66', Rojas P. ↓, Cermeno C. ↑,
73', 2 - 0, Gonzalez M. ⚽, Herrera J. (A),
75', Marin G. ↓, Diciolla G. ↑,
77', Londono F. ↓, Sulbaran M. ↑,
82', Fioravanti L. ↓, Navas E. ↑,
82', Barrios C. ↓, Perez P. ↑,
Preview
A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 14).
Deportivo La Guaira is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Anzoátegui is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Deportivo La Guaira may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Deportivo La Guaira is the undisputed favorite.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo La Guaira won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 1.4:0.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo La Guaira won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).
Watch
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Varela C. (G) 
Ortiz G. 
Londono F. 
Diciolla G. 
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