Match Info

Date: 12 April 2022, Tuesday


	Deportivo La Guaira		Ceará

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.6	1.8
	4.33	3.5	1.82
	4.4	3.5	1.76	Watch
	4.4	3.3	1.75
	4.78	3.55	1.79
	4.6	3.2	1.75	Watch
	4.45	3.48	1.76	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.53 ↑ (2.96)	3.45 ↑ (3.13)	1.78 ↓ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo La Guaira
20.6%

Draw
27%

Ceará
52.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.9%

29.3%

39.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9%

30.3%

38.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo La Guaira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportivo La Guaira's form might have worsened.

Ceará has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ceará's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo La Guaira than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo La Guaira, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceará than the current prediction. (-13.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ceará, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.1%	5.1%	89.7%

Deportivo La Guaira - Ceará Predictions

Users Predictions: 39 users predict this event. Deportivo La Guaira will win (votes: 2 - 5.1%). Ceará will win (votes: 35 - 89.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 5.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ceará: 80.2% – 99.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Recent matches Deportivo La Guaira is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ceará is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Deportivo La Guaira could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Ceará is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo La Guaira
Venezuelan Primera Division
09.04.22	Caracas - Deportivo La Guaira	3:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
06.04.22	General Caballero JLM - Deportivo La Guaira	1:1 ✺
Venezuelan Primera Division
01.04.22	Deportivo La Guaira - Estudiantes de Mérida	1:1 ✺
24.03.22	Zulia - Deportivo La Guaira	0:2 ✺
19.03.22	Deportivo La Guaira - Hermanos Colmenares	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LTTWW
- Ceará SC
Brazilian Serie A
09.04.22	Palmeiras - Ceará	2:3 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
05.04.22	Ceará - Independiente	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
24.03.22	Ceará - CRB Maceio	0:1 penalties ✺
19.03.22	Campinense - Ceará	0:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
15.03.22	Ceará - Tuna Luso Brasileira	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.9 WWLWW

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