Match Info

Date: 16 April 2022, Saturday


	Deportivo La Guaira		Deportivo Lara

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.75	3.2	Watch
	2.25	2.7	3.25
	2.2	2.9	3.2
	2.16	2.79	3.46
	2.2	2.75	3.5
	2.26	2.85	3.62	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↑ (1.97)	2.79 ↓ (3.1)	3.37 ↓ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo La Guaira
40.7%

Draw
32.5%

Deportivo Lara
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

29.5%

24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

30.1%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo La Guaira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportivo La Guaira's form might have worsened.

Deportivo Lara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo La Guaira than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo La Guaira, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Lara than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Deportivo La Guaira - Deportivo Lara Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Deportivo La Guaira won 1.

Recent matches Deportivo La Guaira is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Deportivo Lara is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Deportivo La Guaira could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Deportivo La Guaira will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 30 head-to-head matches Deportivo La Guaira won 11 matches, drawn 11 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 32-23.

Including matches at home between the teams Deportivo La Guaira won 7 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 18-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo La Guaira
Copa Sudamericana
12.04.22	Deportivo La Guaira - Ceará	0:2 ✺
Venezuelan Primera Division
09.04.22	Caracas - Deportivo La Guaira	3:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
06.04.22	General Caballero JLM - Deportivo La Guaira	1:1 ✺
Venezuelan Primera Division
01.04.22	Deportivo La Guaira - Estudiantes de Mérida	1:1 ✺
24.03.22	Zulia - Deportivo La Guaira	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLTTW
- Deportivo Lara
Venezuelan Primera Division
08.04.22	Deportivo Lara - Portuguesa Acarígua	1:0 ✺
31.03.22	Deportivo Táchira - Deportivo Lara	2:0 ✺
27.03.22	Estudiantes de Mérida - Deportivo Lara	1:0 ✺
20.03.22	Deportivo Lara - Monagas	0:0 ✺
10.03.22	Mineros de Guayana - Deportivo Lara	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Venezuelan Primera Division
28.11.21	Deportivo La Guaira - Deportivo Lara	0:0
07.11.21	Deportivo Lara - Deportivo La Guaira	1:1
16.10.21	Deportivo La Guaira - Deportivo Lara	0:2
28.08.21	Deportivo Lara - Deportivo La Guaira	2:2
09.07.21	Deportivo La Guaira - Deportivo Lara	4:1
22.05.21	Deportivo Lara - Deportivo La Guaira	1:2
24.11.20	Deportivo Lara - Deportivo La Guaira	1:0

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