Match Info

Date: 2 October 2022, Sunday

Location: Estadio Metropolitano de Futbol de Lara (Barquisimeto)

Referee: Argote J. (Ven)


	Deportivo Lara		Deportivo Táchira

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.7	2.9	Watch
	2.5	2.7	2.8
	2.32	2.68	3.32
	2.38	2.88	3
	2.26	3.1	3.16	Watch
	2.38	2.8	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↓ (2.6)	2.81 ↓ (3)	3.04 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Lara
38%

Draw
32.2%

Deportivo Táchira
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.9%

30.2%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9%

32%

37%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Lara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Deportivo Táchira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo Táchira might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Lara than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Lara that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Táchira than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Táchira could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	60%	20%

Deportivo Lara - Deportivo Táchira Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Deportivo Lara will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Deportivo Táchira will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Deportivo Lara won 3.

Deportivo Lara is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Deportivo Táchira is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 23 head-to-head matches Deportivo Lara won 7 matches, drawn 10 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 25-27.

Including matches at home between the teams Deportivo Lara won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 16-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Lara
Venezuelan Primera Division
18.09.22	Deportivo Lara - Zulia	3:0 ✺
13.09.22	Caracas - Deportivo Lara	1:2 ✺
09.09.22	Deportivo Lara - Mineros de Guayana	2:3 ✺
03.09.22	Monagas - Deportivo Lara	0:1 ✺
26.08.22	Deportivo Lara - Estudiantes de Mérida	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 WWLWT
- Deportivo Táchira
Venezuelan Primera Division
18.09.22	Deportivo Táchira - Estudiantes de Mérida	2:2 ✺
14.09.22	Zulia - Deportivo Táchira	1:3 ✺
10.09.22	Deportivo Táchira - Hermanos Colmenares	0:1 ✺
02.09.22	Academia Puerto Cabello - Deportivo Táchira	1:2 ✺
28.08.22	Deportivo Táchira - Universidad Central	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Venezuelan Primera Division
19.08.22	Deportivo Lara - Deportivo Táchira	2:0
31.03.22	Deportivo Táchira - Deportivo Lara	2:0
01.12.21	Deportivo Lara - Deportivo Táchira	2:1
10.11.21	Deportivo Táchira - Deportivo Lara	0:0
29.02.20	Deportivo Lara - Deportivo Táchira	2:0
13.10.19	Deportivo Lara - Deportivo Táchira	1:0
21.04.19	Deportivo Táchira - Deportivo Lara	3:1

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