The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportivo Lara 52.4%
Draw 26.7%
Ureña 20.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50.8%
27.3%
21.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.7%
25.4%
20.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Lara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
Ureña has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Lara than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ureña than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Deportivo Lara - Ureña Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
5', 🟥,
11', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
67', 1 - 1, ⚽,
76', 1 - 2, ⚽,
82', 1 - 3, ⚽,
89', 2 - 3, ⚽,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE 2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE 2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
Deportivo Lara has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Ureña has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Ureña may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Deportivo Lara is a strong favorite.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Lara won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 0.8:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Lara won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).