Match Info

Liga 2 - Round 8

Date: 24 May 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Peru	Juntos


	Deportivo Llacuabamba		Cantolao

	1	X	2
	1.38	4.25	6.7
	1.36	4.37	6.83
	1.37	5.03	7.11	Watch
	1.4	4	7
	1.34	4.35	7.95
	1.41	3.9	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.41)	4.32 ↑ (3.9)	6.85 ↑ (5.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Llacuabamba
65.8%

Draw
21%

Cantolao
13.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.8%

22.3%

15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.6%

20.4%

14.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Llacuabamba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Cantolao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Llacuabamba than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cantolao than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Deportivo Llacuabamba - Cantolao Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
	12. Gomez C. (G)
	16. Anicama Lujan J.
	7. Carranza L.
	25. Cordova J.
	24. Delgado V.
	9. Gutierrez M.
	3. Mayo J.
	15. Olmedo A. (C)
	23. Ramos J.
	77. Salem J.
	22. Silva I.
Substitutes
	10. Alessandria T.
	34. Cabello D.
	1. Clavijo T. (G)
	13. Crisostomo E.
	19. Lara F.
	28. Pizuri P.
	11. Saffadi D.
	32. Taype S.
	8. Villanueva J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
22', Sanchez D. 🟨,
26', 1 - 0, Zarate M. ⚽,
34', Silva I. ↓, Cabello D. ↑,
39', 2 - 0, Zarate M. ⚽,
42', 3 - 0, Zarate M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Carranza L. ↓, Lara F. ↑,
46', Aguero J. ↓, Urrutia B. ↑,
61', Tunqui J. ↓, Chinga R. ↑,
62', Ventura F. ↓, Moyano D. ↑,
62', Salem J. ↓, Saffadi D. ↑,
62', Ramos J. ↓, Crisostomo E. ↑,
76', Rossi E. ↓, Rodriguez R. ↑,
76', Zarate M. ↓, Osorio A. ↑,
79', Delgado V. 🟨,
85', Rodriguez R. 🟨,
88', Anicama Lujan J. ↓, Villanueva J. ↑,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 2 (Promotion Group: ) and 8 in the zone Liga 2 (Relegation Group: )).

Llacuabamba has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Cantolao's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Cantolao may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Llacuabamba is the undisputed favorite.

We predict that Llacuabamba will win today's game, with odds of 1.39.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Llacuabamba won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 2.3:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Llacuabamba won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 3.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Llacuabamba
Peruvian Liga 2
17.05.26	Unión Comercio - Deportivo Llacuabamba	0:0 ✺
09.05.26	Deportivo Llacuabamba - Universidad César Vallejo	2:0 ✺
25.04.26	Deportivo Llacuabamba - ADA Jaén	1:0 ✺
18.04.26	Universidad San Martín - Deportivo Llacuabamba	0:1 ✺
29.03.26	Deportivo Llacuabamba - Carlos A. Mannucci	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 TWWWW
- AD Cantolao
Peruvian Liga 2
17.05.26	Cantolao - Carlos A. Mannucci	1:4 ✺
11.05.26	Pirata - Cantolao	2:1 ✺
26.04.26	Cantolao - Unión Comercio	0:1 ✺
19.04.26	Universidad César Vallejo - Cantolao	2:1 ✺
03.04.26	Cantolao - San Marcos	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 2
20.09.25	Cantolao - Deportivo Llacuabamba	1:0
15.08.25	Deportivo Llacuabamba - Cantolao	4:3
Peruvian Liga 1
09.02.20	Deportivo Llacuabamba - Cantolao	3:1

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