Match Info

Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 4

Date: 6 May 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Bellavista (Ambato) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Zanovelli P. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	21:00	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, TOD
Australia	10:00	beIN Connect
Bolivia	20:00	ESPN 2
Brazil	21:00	Paramount+
Canada	20:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol, fubo Sports Network
Chile	20:00	Disney+
Colombia	19:00	DSports
Ecuador	19:00	DirecTV Sports
India	05:30	FanCode, FanCode
Israel	03:00	Sport 3
Italy	02:00	Como TV
Mexico	18:00	Disney+
New Zealand	12:00	beIN Connect
Paraguay	20:00	ESPN 2
Peru	19:00	Disney+, ESPN 2
South America	—	DGO Latin America, ViX Latin America
Uruguay	21:00	DirecTV Sports, Disney+, DSports 310
Usa	20:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Latino, Tubi TV
Venezuela	20:00	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter


	Deportivo Macará		Tigre

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.1	3.3	Watch
	2.55	3.1	2.8
	2.32	2.92	3.2	Watch
	2.44	3	3.36
	2.42	2.93	3.36	Watch
	2.3	2.8	3.25	Watch
	2.35	2.92	3.27	Watch
	2.32	3.15	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (2.34)	2.99 ↓ (3.2)	3.21 ↑ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Macará
39.3%

Draw
31.4%

Tigre
29.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.2%

29.4%

30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

29.4%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Macará has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Tigre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Macará than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tigre than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	40%	50%

Deportivo Macará - Tigre Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Macará will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Tigre will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tigre: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tigre (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rodriguez R. (G) 5. Estacio J. 21. Etchebarne S. 14. Marrufo J. (C) 13. Ayala M. 15. Tello M. 16. Cazares J. 10. Miranda M. 20. Viera M. 9. Posse F. 7. Paz F.	12. Zenobio F. T. (C) 4. Moreno V. 20. Barrionuevo A. 42. Arias R. 24. Alvarez F. 8. Garay M. 10. Saralegui J. 5. Leyes B. 33. Cabrera E. 9. Romero D. 29. Russo I.
Substitutes
8. Blanc G. 25. Bolanos D. 77. Chala J. 30. Chamba T. 12. Cuero D. (G) 3. Espinoza J. 11. Espinoza T. 22. Ferro L. 4. Jimenez J. 87. Klinger J. 26. Medranda M. 27. Mohor J.	3. Banegas N. 30. Elias J. 18. Fernandez M. 6. Guiffrey G. 22. Lopez S. 21. Medina S. 55. Mosqueira J. 19. Oviedo A. 11. Serrago T. 17. Soto G. 26. Sultani T. (G) 32. Villalba J.
Coaches
Sanguinetti G.	Dabove D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', Paz F. ↓, Espinoza T. ↑,
17', 0 - 1, Romero D. ⚽,
35', Etchebarne S. 🟨,
36', Zenobio F. T. 🟨,
38', 1 - 1, Zenobio F. T. (Own goal),
41', Cabrera E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Viera M. ↓, Blanc G. ↑,
48', Estacio J. 🟨,
51', 1 - 2, Romero D. ⚽, Cabrera E. (A),
60', Cazares J. ↓, Klinger J. ↑,
73', Moreno V. ↓, Villalba J. ↑,
73', Tello M. ↓, Ferro L. ↑,
74', Ayala M. ↓, Mohor J. ↑,
74', Arias R. 🟨,
75', 2 - 2, Posse F. ⚽, Estacio J. (A),
82', Cabrera E. ↓, Lopez S. ↑,
83', Miranda M. 🟨,
90+1', Estacio J. 🟨,
90+2', Saralegui J. ↓, Elias J. ↑,
90+2', Romero D. ↓, Mosqueira J. ↑,

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Tigre may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Macará won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Macará
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
03.05.26	Deportivo Macará - Orense	1:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
30.04.26	Alianza Atlético - Deportivo Macará	0:2 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
26.04.26	Deportivo Macará - Libertad Loja	3:0 ✺
23.04.26	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Deportivo Macará	4:0 ✺
19.04.26	Deportivo Macará - Barcelona Guayaquil	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LWWLW
- CA Tigre
Argentinian Liga Profesional
03.05.26	Rosario Central - Tigre	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
30.04.26	Tigre - América de Cali	2:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
25.04.26	Sarmiento de Junín - Tigre	1:0 ✺
20.04.26	Tigre - Huracán Buenos Aires	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
16.04.26	Tigre - Deportivo Macará	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
16.04.26	Tigre - Deportivo Macará	0:1

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