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Current Win Probability
Universidad Católica del Ecuador 51.7%
Draw 26%
Deportivo Macará 22.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
58.4%
24.8%
16.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
62.1%
26.4%
15.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Universidad Católica del Ecuador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Universidad Católica del Ecuador's form might have worsened.
Deportivo Macará has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportivo Macará's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad Católica del Ecuador than the current prediction. (+10.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Universidad Católica del Ecuador, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Macará than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportivo Macará, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
60%
20%
20%
Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Deportivo Macará Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Uni Católica will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Macará will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Lara J. (G) 29. Anangono G. 33. Canga L. 37. Medina C. 44. Valencia E. 8. Clavijo E. (C) 5. Cacciabue J. 23. Rodriguez A. 28. Diaz M. 30. Mejia E. 18. Palacios B.
1. Rodriguez R. (G) 25. Bolanos D. 4. Jimenez J. 14. Marrufo J. (C) 27. Mohor J. 52. Coello B. 16. Cazares J. 28. Campana A. I. 15. Tello M. 20. Viera M. 9. Posse F.
Substitutes
32. Alonso M. 1. Cueva L. (G) 7. Fajardo J. 9. Londono A. 3. Manriquez J. 10. Martinez F. 14. Mina J. 15. Moreno L. 24. Nazareno D. 19. Sevillano M. 17. Troya R. 26. Yanez S.
13. Ayala M. 18. Cabeza M. 50. Caicedo C. 77. Chala J. 12. Cuero D. (G) 3. Espinoza J. 11. Espinoza T. 22. Ferro L. 87. Klinger J. 26. Medranda M. 19. Ramos P.
Coaches
Martinez D.
Sanguinetti G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
34', 0 - 1, Posse F. ⚽, Campana A. I. (A),
44', Valencia E. 🟨,
45+4', Mohor J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Valencia E. ↓, Mina J. ↑,
46', Coello B. ↓, Caicedo C. ↑,
46', Rodriguez A. ↓, Fajardo J. ↑,
49', Fajardo J. (Penalty Awarded),
64', Mejia E. ↓, Londono A. ↑,
72', Palacios B. ↓, Alonso M. ↑,
73', Diaz M. 🟨,
73', Clavijo E. ↓, Martinez F. ↑,
76', Viera M. ↓, Ayala M. ↑,
76', Mohor J. ↓, Medranda M. ↑,
87', Campana A. I. ↓, Ramos P. ↑,
88', Londono A. 🟨,
90+2', Posse F. ↓, Ferro L. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Uni Católica won 4.
Currently, both sides are showing commendable stability on the pitch.
Uni Católica carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Uni Católica has recorded 7 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 23:8 (averaging 2.3:0.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Uni Católica against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 11:3 goals (averaging 2.2:0.6 per game).
Ecuador
Peru
Watch
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Lara J. (G) 
Cacciabue J. 
Rodriguez R. (G) 
Marrufo J. (C) 
Fajardo J. 
Manriquez J. 
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